Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg prediction

Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg preview

Bundesliga action on Saturday 7 November sees SV Elversberg travel to face Borussia Dortmund. In the standings, SV Elversberg are 5th on 13 points from 8 games and Borussia Dortmund 2nd on 17 points from 7 games. Recent results matter here: Borussia Dortmund have gone unbeaten in their last five, with three wins and two draws (WDDWW) and SV Elversberg have picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (WLWLD). Borussia Dortmund average 1.7 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, compared with 2.0 and 2.0 for SV Elversberg. Our model expects around 2.0 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 0.9 for SV Elversberg, and 2–0 is the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

We put over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams to score at 58%. We make Borussia Dortmund 74% to win, the draw 16% and SV Elversberg 11%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 76%, 15% and 11%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 58%, against 62% implied by the best price of 1.62. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet.