RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg prediction
RB Leipzig
FC AugsburgNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 67%; the best price of 1.50 implies 67%
- Last five: RB Leipzig WLWLW, FC Augsburg DLDLD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Expected goals 3.5–1.1: 4.6 in total, most likely score 3–1
Both sides expected to score: 3.5 and 1.1 xG.
Build your bet slip
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg preview
RB Leipzig host FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November. In the standings, FC Augsburg are 9th on 9 points from 7 games and RB Leipzig 6th on 12 points from 7 games. Recent results matter here: RB Leipzig have won three of their last five (WLWLW) and FC Augsburg have not won any of their last five (three draws, two defeats) (DLDLD). RB Leipzig average 2.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, compared with 2.4 and 1.9 for FC Augsburg. On expected goals we have RB Leipzig at 3.5 and FC Augsburg at 1.1, with 3–1 the most likely score (8%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams to score at 68%. We make RB Leipzig 67% to win, the draw 17% and FC Augsburg 16%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 67%, 18% and 17%. Our verdict is RB Leipzig to win: we rate it at 67%, against 67% implied by the best price of 1.50. The edge is slim at around 1%, so a small drop in the price would remove it. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig win | 67% | 1.50 | 67% | +1% |
| Draw | 17% | 5.49 | 18% | -5% |
| FC Augsburg win | 16% | 6.00 | 17% | -7% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 77% | 1.28 | 78% | -2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 23% | 4.00 | 25% | -6% |
| Both teams to score | 68% | 1.40 | 71% | -5% |
| Not both to score | 32% | 3.00 | 33% | -4% |
| RB Leipzig or draw | 84% | 1.17 | 85% | -1% |
| FC Augsburg or draw | 33% | 2.80 | 36% | -8% |
| Either team to win | 83% | 1.18 | 85% | -2% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 3.5 |
| FC Augsburg | 1.1 |
| Total | 4.6 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| RB Leipzig 3–1 FC Augsburg | 8% |
| RB Leipzig 3–0 FC Augsburg | 7% |
| RB Leipzig 4–1 FC Augsburg | 7% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | |
| FC Augsburg |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 6th | 12 | 7 |
| FC Augsburg | 9th | 9 | 7 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| FC Augsburg | 2.4 | 1.9 |
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg: FAQ
Who will win RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
We make RB Leipzig 67% to win, the draw 17% and FC Augsburg 16%, so RB Leipzig are the more likely winners on our numbers. The bookmakers agree, with RB Leipzig the shorter price. Our verdict is RB Leipzig to win at 67%.
Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
We give both teams to score a 68% chance, against 71% implied by the best price of 1.40. Our expected goals are 3.5 for RB Leipzig and 1.1 for FC Augsburg.
How many goals in RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg?
Our model expects about 4.6 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 77% and under 2.5 at 23%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.28. The single most likely score is 3–1.
What time does RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg kick off?
RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg kicks off at 14:30 UTC on Saturday 7 November 2026, in the Bundesliga.
Werder Bremen
1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
SC Paderborn 07
Bayer Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart
SC Freiburg
FC Schalke 04
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund