VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen prediction

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen preview

VfB Stuttgart welcome Werder Bremen on Saturday 7 November in the Bundesliga. VfB Stuttgart sit 15th in the table on 6 points from 7 games, while Werder Bremen are 7th with 12 points. That puts Werder Bremen eight places higher. On form, VfB Stuttgart have lost four of their last five (LLWLL), while Werder Bremen have gone unbeaten in their last five, with two wins and three draws (WDDWD). VfB Stuttgart average 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game, compared with 2.1 and 2.0 for Werder Bremen. On expected goals we have VfB Stuttgart at 2.2 and Werder Bremen at 1.7, with 1–1 the most likely score (9%).

We put over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 66%. We make VfB Stuttgart 63% to win, the draw 19% and Werder Bremen 18%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 66%, 19% and 17%. Our verdict is VfB Stuttgart to win: we rate it at 63%, against 66% implied by the best price of 1.52. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.