Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach preview

Hamburger SV welcome Borussia Mönchengladbach on Friday 6 November in the Bundesliga. In the standings, Borussia Mönchengladbach are 18th on 3 points from 7 games and Hamburger SV 11th on 9 points from 7 games. That puts Hamburger SV seven places higher. Borussia Mönchengladbach come into it having lost four of their last five (WLLLL); Hamburger SV have won three of their last five (LWWWL). Hamburger SV average 0.9 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game, compared with 1.6 and 3.1 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Our model expects around 2.0 goals for Hamburger SV and 1.4 for Borussia Mönchengladbach, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

We put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 64%. We make Hamburger SV 40% to win, the draw 25% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 34%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 40%, 26% and 36%. Our verdict is Hamburger SV or draw: we rate it at 66%, against 66% implied by the best price of 1.51. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.