Como vs Venezia prediction
Como
VeneziaNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 59%
- Expected goals 1.9–0.9 (most likely score 1-1)
- Last five: Como WWDLW, Venezia WLLLL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
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Como vs Venezia preview
Como welcome Venezia on Sunday 1 November in Serie A. In the standings, Venezia are 20th on 3 points from 7 games and Como 4th on 17 points from 8 games. That puts Como 16 places higher. On form, Como have won three of their last five (WWDLW), while Venezia have lost four of their last five (WLLLL). In front of goal, Como score 1.8 and concede 0.9 a game on average; Venezia score 0.9 and concede 2.3. Our model expects around 1.9 goals for Como and 0.9 for Venezia, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 51%. We make Como 59% to win, the draw 25% and Venezia 16%. Our verdict is Como to win: we rate it at 59%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como win | 59% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – | – |
| Venezia win | 16% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 51% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 49% | – | – | – |
| Como or draw | 84% | – | – | – |
| Venezia or draw | 41% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 75% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Como | 1.9 |
| Venezia | 0.9 |
| Total | 2.8 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Como 1–1 Venezia | 12% |
| Como 2–0 Venezia | 11% |
| Como 1–0 Venezia | 10% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Como | |
| Venezia |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 4th | 17 | 8 |
| Venezia | 20th | 3 | 7 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Como | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Venezia | 0.9 | 2.3 |
Como vs Venezia: FAQ
Who will win Como vs Venezia?
We make Como 59% to win, the draw 25% and Venezia 16%, so Como are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Como to win at 59%.
Will both teams score in Como vs Venezia?
We give both teams to score a 51% chance. Our expected goals are 1.9 for Como and 0.9 for Venezia.
How many goals in Como vs Venezia?
Our model expects about 2.8 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 52% and under 2.5 at 48%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Como vs Venezia kick off?
Como vs Venezia kicks off at 11:30 UTC on Sunday 1 November 2026, in Serie A.
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