Lecce vs Juventus prediction
Lecce
JuventusNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 63%; the best price of 1.50 implies 67%
- Expected goals 1.4–1.8 (most likely score 1-1)
- Last five: Lecce WLLWL, Juventus LDWLD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
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Lecce vs Juventus preview
Lecce host Juventus in Serie A on Sunday 25 October. Lecce sit 12th in the table on 9 points from 7 games, while Juventus are 10th with 11 points. On form, Lecce have lost three of their last five (WLLWL), while Juventus have picked up one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five (LDWLD). Lecce average 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, compared with 1.3 and 1.1 for Juventus. Our model expects around 1.4 goals for Lecce and 1.8 for Juventus, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 51%. We make Lecce 15% to win, the draw 22% and Juventus 63%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 13%, 22% and 67%. Our verdict is Juventus to win: we rate it at 63%, against 67% implied by the best price of 1.50. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce win | 15% | 7.70 | 13% | +16% |
| Draw | 22% | 4.60 | 22% | +1% |
| Juventus win | 63% | 1.50 | 67% | -6% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.92 | 52% | +4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.02 | 50% | -7% |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 2.00 | 50% | +2% |
| Not both to score | 49% | 1.87 | 53% | -8% |
| Lecce or draw | 37% | 2.78 | 36% | +3% |
| Juventus or draw | 85% | 1.13 | 88% | -4% |
| Either team to win | 78% | 1.24 | 81% | -3% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Lecce | 1.4 |
| Juventus | 1.8 |
| Total | 3.2 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Lecce 1–1 Juventus | 11% |
| Lecce 1–2 Juventus | 9% |
| Lecce 2–1 Juventus | 7% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Lecce | |
| Juventus |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce | 12th | 9 | 7 |
| Juventus | 10th | 11 | 7 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Lecce | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Juventus | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Corners and cards lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Corners 9.5 | 2.20 (45%) | 1.89 (53%) |
| Cards 3.5 | 1.90 (53%) | 2.08 (48%) |
Best available prices, with the implied chance in brackets.
Lecce vs Juventus: FAQ
Who will win Lecce vs Juventus?
We make Lecce 15% to win, the draw 22% and Juventus 63%, so Juventus are the more likely winners on our numbers. The bookmakers agree, with Juventus the shorter price. Our verdict is Juventus to win at 63%.
Will both teams score in Lecce vs Juventus?
We give both teams to score a 51% chance, against 50% implied by the best price of 2.00. Our expected goals are 1.4 for Lecce and 1.8 for Juventus.
How many goals in Lecce vs Juventus?
Our model expects about 3.2 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 54% and under 2.5 at 46%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.92. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Lecce vs Juventus kick off?
Lecce vs Juventus kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Sunday 25 October 2026, in Serie A.
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