Juventus vs Napoli prediction
Juventus
NapoliNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 55%
- Expected goals 1.3–1.2, so 45% for over 2.5 and 52% for both to score
- Last five: Juventus LDWLD, Napoli DLWDW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 68% combined.
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Juventus vs Napoli preview
Juventus host Napoli in Serie A on Sunday 1 November. Juventus sit 10th in the table on 11 points from 7 games, while Napoli are 9th with 11 points. The two sides are level on points. Napoli come into it having picked up two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five (DLWDW); Juventus have picked up one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five (LDWLD). In front of goal, Juventus score 1.3 and concede 1.1 a game on average; Napoli score 1.6 and concede 1.3. Our model expects around 1.3 goals for Juventus and 1.2 for Napoli, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 52%. We make Juventus 38% to win, the draw 30% and Napoli 32%. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals: we rate it at 55%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus win | 38% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 30% | – | – | – |
| Napoli win | 32% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 48% | – | – | – |
| Juventus or draw | 68% | – | – | – |
| Napoli or draw | 62% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 70% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Juventus | 1.3 |
| Napoli | 1.2 |
| Total | 2.5 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Juventus 1–1 Napoli | 14% |
| Juventus 0–0 Napoli | 10% |
| Juventus 1–0 Napoli | 9% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Juventus | |
| Napoli |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 10th | 11 | 7 |
| Napoli | 9th | 11 | 8 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Napoli | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Juventus vs Napoli: FAQ
Who will win Juventus vs Napoli?
We make Juventus 38% to win, the draw 30% and Napoli 32%, so Juventus are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score in Juventus vs Napoli?
We give both teams to score a 52% chance. Our expected goals are 1.3 for Juventus and 1.2 for Napoli.
How many goals in Juventus vs Napoli?
Our model expects about 2.5 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 45% and under 2.5 at 55%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Juventus vs Napoli kick off?
Juventus vs Napoli kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Sunday 1 November 2026, in Serie A.
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