Bologna vs Monza prediction
Bologna
MonzaNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 67%
- Expected goals 1.8–1.6, so 66% for over 2.5 and 67% for both to score
- Last five: Bologna WLWDL, Monza LWLWL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 68% combined.
Expected goals 1.8–1.6, 3.4 in total.
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Bologna vs Monza preview
Serie A action on Saturday 31 October sees Monza travel to face Bologna. Bologna sit 13th in the table on 8 points from 8 games, while Monza are 15th with 7 points. Recent results matter here: Bologna have picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (WLWDL) and Monza have lost three of their last five (LWLWL). Bologna average 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, compared with 1.9 and 2.3 for Monza. Our model expects around 1.8 goals for Bologna and 1.6 for Monza, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 67%. We make Bologna 43% to win, the draw 25% and Monza 32%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 67%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna win | 43% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – | – |
| Monza win | 32% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 67% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 33% | – | – | – |
| Bologna or draw | 68% | – | – | – |
| Monza or draw | 57% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 75% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Bologna | 1.8 |
| Monza | 1.6 |
| Total | 3.4 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Bologna 1–1 Monza | 11% |
| Bologna 2–1 Monza | 9% |
| Bologna 1–2 Monza | 7% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Bologna | |
| Monza |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 13th | 8 | 8 |
| Monza | 15th | 7 | 8 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Monza | 1.9 | 2.3 |
Bologna vs Monza: FAQ
Who will win Bologna vs Monza?
We make Bologna 43% to win, the draw 25% and Monza 32%, so Bologna are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 67%.
Will both teams score in Bologna vs Monza?
We give both teams to score a 67% chance. Our expected goals are 1.8 for Bologna and 1.6 for Monza.
How many goals in Bologna vs Monza?
Our model expects about 3.4 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 66% and under 2.5 at 34%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Bologna vs Monza kick off?
Bologna vs Monza kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday 31 October 2026, in Serie A.
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