Cagliari vs Bologna prediction
Cagliari
BolognaResult: Cagliari 0–2 Bologna
| Pick | Outcome |
|---|---|
| Cagliari or draw | Lost |
| Under 2.5 goals | Won |
Settled on our public track record.
No value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 70%
- Expected goals 0.8–1.1, so 30% for over 2.5 and 39% for both to score
- Last five: Cagliari LLDWW, Bologna WLWDL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Build your bet slip
Cagliari vs Bologna preview
Cagliari hosted Bologna in Serie A on Saturday 24 October. Here is how it shaped up before kick-off. Cagliari sit 8th in the table on 13 points from 8 games, while Bologna are 13th with 8 points. Both sides have picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five: Cagliari LLDWW and Bologna WLWDL. In front of goal, Cagliari score 0.8 and concede 1.1 a game on average; Bologna score 1.0 and concede 1.3. On expected goals we have Cagliari at 0.8 and Bologna at 1.1, with 0–0 the most likely score (16%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 30% and both teams to score at 39%. We make Cagliari 27% to win, the draw 35% and Bologna 39%. Our verdict is Cagliari or draw: we rate it at 66%, against 66% implied by the best price of 1.52. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari win | 27% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 35% | – | – | – |
| Bologna win | 39% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 70% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 39% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 61% | – | – | – |
| Cagliari or draw | 61% | – | – | – |
| Bologna or draw | 73% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 65% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Cagliari | 0.8 |
| Bologna | 1.1 |
| Total | 1.9 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Cagliari 0–0 Bologna | 16% |
| Cagliari 1–1 Bologna | 15% |
| Cagliari 0–1 Bologna | 14% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Cagliari | |
| Bologna |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 8th | 13 | 8 |
| Bologna | 13th | 8 | 8 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Bologna | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Cagliari vs Bologna: FAQ
Who will win Cagliari vs Bologna?
The match finished Cagliari 0–2 Bologna. Before kick-off we made Cagliari 27% to win, the draw 35% and Bologna 39%, so Bologna were the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. Our verdict was Cagliari or draw at 66%.
Will both teams score in Cagliari vs Bologna?
We gave both teams to score a 39% chance. Our expected goals are 0.8 for Cagliari and 1.1 for Bologna. In the end, both teams did not score.
How many goals in Cagliari vs Bologna?
Our model expects about 1.9 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 30% and under 2.5 at 70%. The single most likely score is 0–0. The final score was 0–2, 2 goals in all.
What time does Cagliari vs Bologna kick off?
Cagliari vs Bologna kicked off at 13:00 UTC on Saturday 24 October 2026, in Serie A.
Lazio
Parma
Inter
Fiorentina
Genoa
Venezia
Atalanta
Frosinone
Lecce
Juventus
Udinese
AC Milan