Como vs Sassuolo prediction
Como
SassuoloResult: Como 2–0 Sassuolo
| Pick | Outcome |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | Lost |
| Como to win | Won |
| Both teams to score | Lost |
Settled on our public track record.
No value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 58%
- Expected goals 1.9–0.9 (most likely score 1-1)
- Last five: Como WWDLW, Sassuolo LLDLW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
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Como vs Sassuolo preview
This Serie A match between Como and Sassuolo was played on Saturday 24 October. Here is how it shaped up before kick-off. Como sit 4th in the table on 17 points from 8 games, while Sassuolo are 14th with 8 points. That puts Como ten places higher. Recent results matter here: Como have won three of their last five (WWDLW) and Sassuolo have lost three of their last five (LLDLW). Como average 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game, compared with 1.5 and 2.0 for Sassuolo.
Our model expects around 1.9 goals for Como and 0.9 for Sassuolo, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 12%. We put over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 53%. We make Como 58% to win, the draw 25% and Sassuolo 17%. Our verdict is Como to win: we rate it at 63%, against 66% implied by the best price of 1.52. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como win | 58% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – | – |
| Sassuolo win | 17% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 47% | – | – | – |
| Como or draw | 83% | – | – | – |
| Sassuolo or draw | 42% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 75% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Como | 1.9 |
| Sassuolo | 0.9 |
| Total | 2.8 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Como 1–1 Sassuolo | 12% |
| Como 2–0 Sassuolo | 11% |
| Como 1–0 Sassuolo | 10% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Como | |
| Sassuolo |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 4th | 17 | 8 |
| Sassuolo | 14th | 8 | 8 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Como | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Sassuolo | 1.5 | 2.0 |
Como vs Sassuolo: FAQ
Who will win Como vs Sassuolo?
The match finished Como 2–0 Sassuolo. Before kick-off we made Como 58% to win, the draw 25% and Sassuolo 17%, so Como were the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict was Como to win at 63%.
Will both teams score in Como vs Sassuolo?
We gave both teams to score a 53% chance. Our expected goals are 1.9 for Como and 0.9 for Sassuolo. In the end, both teams did not score.
How many goals in Como vs Sassuolo?
Our model expects about 2.8 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 53% and under 2.5 at 47%. The single most likely score is 1–1. The final score was 2–0, 2 goals in all.
What time does Como vs Sassuolo kick off?
Como vs Sassuolo kicked off at 13:00 UTC on Saturday 24 October 2026, in Serie A.
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