Udinese vs AS Roma prediction
Udinese
AS RomaNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 63%
- Expected goals 0.8–2.0 (most likely score 0-2)
- Last five: Udinese LLLLL, AS Roma DWDDW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
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Udinese vs AS Roma preview
Udinese welcome AS Roma on Saturday 31 October in Serie A. In the standings, AS Roma are 3rd on 18 points from 8 games and Udinese 16th on 4 points from 7 games. That puts AS Roma 13 places higher. On form, Udinese have lost each of their last five (LLLLL), while AS Roma have gone unbeaten in their last five, with two wins and three draws (DWDDW). In front of goal, Udinese score 1.3 and concede 2.3 a game on average; AS Roma score 2.4 and concede 0.8. On expected goals we have Udinese at 0.8 and AS Roma at 2.0, with 0–2 the most likely score (12%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 50%. We make Udinese 14% to win, the draw 23% and AS Roma 63%. Our verdict is AS Roma to win: we rate it at 63%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese win | 14% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 23% | – | – | – |
| AS Roma win | 63% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 50% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 50% | – | – | – |
| Udinese or draw | 37% | – | – | – |
| AS Roma or draw | 86% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 77% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Udinese | 0.8 |
| AS Roma | 2.0 |
| Total | 2.8 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Udinese 0–2 AS Roma | 12% |
| Udinese 1–1 AS Roma | 11% |
| Udinese 0–1 AS Roma | 11% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Udinese | |
| AS Roma |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 16th | 4 | 7 |
| AS Roma | 3rd | 18 | 8 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| AS Roma | 2.4 | 0.8 |
Udinese vs AS Roma: FAQ
Who will win Udinese vs AS Roma?
We make Udinese 14% to win, the draw 23% and AS Roma 63%, so AS Roma are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is AS Roma to win at 63%.
Will both teams score in Udinese vs AS Roma?
We give both teams to score a 50% chance. Our expected goals are 0.8 for Udinese and 2.0 for AS Roma.
How many goals in Udinese vs AS Roma?
Our model expects about 2.8 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 53% and under 2.5 at 47%. The single most likely score is 0–2.
What time does Udinese vs AS Roma kick off?
Udinese vs AS Roma kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Saturday 31 October 2026, in Serie A.
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