Venezia vs Inter prediction
Venezia
InterNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 60%; the best price of 1.57 implies 64%
- Expected goals 1.0–1.9, so 70% for over 2.5 and 60% for both to score
- Last five: Venezia WLLLL, Inter WWDWW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Our model gives Inter the win 71%.
Expected goals 1.0–1.9, 3.0 in total.
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Venezia vs Inter preview
Serie A action on Wednesday 28 October sees Inter travel to face Venezia. In the standings, Inter are 1st on 19 points from 7 games and Venezia 20th on 3 points from 7 games. That puts Inter 19 places higher. Inter come into it having gone unbeaten in their last five, with four wins and one draw (WWDWW); Venezia have lost four of their last five (WLLLL). In front of goal, Venezia score 0.9 and concede 2.3 a game on average; Inter score 3.0 and concede 1.3. On expected goals we have Venezia at 1.0 and Inter at 1.9, with 1–1 the most likely score (12%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 70% and both teams to score at 60%. We make Venezia 13% to win, the draw 17% and Inter 71%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 12%, 16% and 74%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 60%, against 64% implied by the best price of 1.57. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia win | 13% | 8.55 | 12% | +8% |
| Draw | 17% | 6.40 | 16% | +7% |
| Inter win | 71% | 1.35 | 74% | -5% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.33 | 75% | -7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.40 | 29% | +3% |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 1.57 | 64% | -6% |
| Not both to score | 40% | 2.42 | 41% | -2% |
| Venezia or draw | 29% | 3.48 | 29% | +2% |
| Inter or draw | 87% | 1.10 | 91% | -4% |
| Either team to win | 83% | 1.17 | 85% | -3% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Venezia | 1.0 |
| Inter | 1.9 |
| Total | 3.0 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Venezia 1–1 Inter | 12% |
| Venezia 1–2 Inter | 10% |
| Venezia 0–2 Inter | 10% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Venezia | |
| Inter |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 20th | 3 | 7 |
| Inter | 1st | 19 | 7 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 0.9 | 2.3 |
| Inter | 3.0 | 1.3 |
Corners and cards lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Corners 9.5 | 2.15 (47%) | 1.65 (61%) |
Best available prices, with the implied chance in brackets.
Venezia vs Inter: FAQ
Who will win Venezia vs Inter?
We make Venezia 13% to win, the draw 17% and Inter 71%, so Inter are the more likely winners on our numbers. The bookmakers agree, with Inter the shorter price. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 60%.
Will both teams score in Venezia vs Inter?
We give both teams to score a 60% chance, against 64% implied by the best price of 1.57. Our expected goals are 1.0 for Venezia and 1.9 for Inter.
How many goals in Venezia vs Inter?
Our model expects about 3.0 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 70% and under 2.5 at 30%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.33. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Venezia vs Inter kick off?
Venezia vs Inter kicks off at 17:30 UTC on Wednesday 28 October 2026, in Serie A.
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