Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht FrankfurtResult: Borussia Dortmund 1–0 Eintracht Frankfurt
| Pick | Outcome |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | Lost |
| Both teams to score | Lost |
| Borussia Dortmund to win | Won |
Settled on our public track record.
No value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 76%
- Expected goals 2.7–1.3, so 76% for over 2.5 and 69% for both to score
- Last five: Borussia Dortmund DDWWW, Eintracht Frankfurt WLDWL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
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Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt preview
Eintracht Frankfurt were the visitors at Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on Saturday 24 October. Here is how it shaped up before kick-off. In the standings, Eintracht Frankfurt are 13th on 8 points from 6 games and Borussia Dortmund 2nd on 14 points from 6 games. That puts Borussia Dortmund 11 places higher. On form, Borussia Dortmund have gone unbeaten in their last five, with three wins and two draws (DDWWW), while Eintracht Frankfurt have picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (WLDWL). Our model expects around 2.7 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.3 for Eintracht Frankfurt, and 2–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 66%. We make Borussia Dortmund 64% to win, the draw 19% and Eintracht Frankfurt 17%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 65%, 19% and 17%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 66%, against 67% implied by the best price of 1.50. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund win | 64% | 1.55 | 65% | 0% |
| Draw | 19% | 5.18 | 19% | -2% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt win | 17% | 5.84 | 17% | -3% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | 1.37 | 73% | -2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28% | 3.20 | 31% | -9% |
| Both teams to score | 66% | 1.50 | 67% | -1% |
| Not both to score | 34% | 2.80 | 36% | -5% |
| Borussia Dortmund or draw | 83% | 1.17 | 85% | -3% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt or draw | 36% | 2.68 | 37% | -5% |
| Either team to win | 81% | 1.20 | 83% | -3% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 2.7 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.3 |
| Total | 4.0 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 9% |
| Borussia Dortmund 3–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 8% |
| Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 7% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 2nd | 14 | 6 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 13th | 8 | 6 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.7 | 2.7 |
Corners and cards lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Corners 9.5 | 1.90 (53%) | 2.07 (48%) |
| Cards 3.5 | 2.44 (41%) | 1.75 (57%) |
Best available prices, with the implied chance in brackets.
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: FAQ
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
The match finished Borussia Dortmund 1–0 Eintracht Frankfurt. Before kick-off we made Borussia Dortmund 64% to win, the draw 19% and Eintracht Frankfurt 17%, so Borussia Dortmund were the more likely winners on our numbers. The bookmakers agree, with Borussia Dortmund the shorter price. Our verdict was Both teams to score at 66%.
Will both teams score in Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
We gave both teams to score a 66% chance, against 67% implied by the best price of 1.50. Our expected goals are 2.7 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.3 for Eintracht Frankfurt. In the end, both teams did not score.
How many goals in Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Our model expects about 4.0 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 72% and under 2.5 at 28%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.37. The single most likely score is 2–1. The final score was 1–0, 1 goal in all.
What time does Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt kick off?
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt kicked off at 16:30 UTC on Saturday 24 October 2026, in the Bundesliga.