Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV prediction
Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SVNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 66%; the best price of 1.47 implies 68%
- Expected goals 2.0–1.3, so 66% for over 2.5 and 64% for both to score
- Last five: Eintracht Frankfurt LWLDW, Hamburger SV LWWWL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Both sides expected to score: 2.0 and 1.3 xG.
Our model gives Eintracht Frankfurt the win 57%.
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Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV preview
Bundesliga action on Sunday 1 November sees Hamburger SV travel to face Eintracht Frankfurt. Eintracht Frankfurt sit 13th in the table on 8 points from 7 games, while Hamburger SV are 10th with 9 points. Recent results matter here: Eintracht Frankfurt have picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (LWLDW) and Hamburger SV have won three of their last five (LWWWL). Eintracht Frankfurt average 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game, compared with 0.9 and 2.3 for Hamburger SV. Our model expects around 2.0 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.3 for Hamburger SV, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams to score at 64%. We make Eintracht Frankfurt 57% to win, the draw 22% and Hamburger SV 21%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 58%, 22% and 21%. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals: we rate it at 66%, against 68% implied by the best price of 1.47. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt win | 57% | 1.72 | 58% | -2% |
| Draw | 22% | 4.61 | 22% | +1% |
| Hamburger SV win | 21% | 4.75 | 21% | +1% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.47 | 68% | -4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.84 | 35% | -2% |
| Both teams to score | 64% | 1.50 | 67% | -4% |
| Not both to score | 36% | 2.70 | 37% | -3% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt or draw | 79% | 1.24 | 81% | -2% |
| Hamburger SV or draw | 43% | 2.25 | 44% | -3% |
| Either team to win | 78% | 1.24 | 81% | -3% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 2.0 |
| Hamburger SV | 1.3 |
| Total | 3.3 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 Hamburger SV | 11% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 2–1 Hamburger SV | 10% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 Hamburger SV | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | |
| Hamburger SV |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 13th | 8 | 7 |
| Hamburger SV | 10th | 9 | 7 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| Hamburger SV | 0.9 | 2.3 |
Corners and cards lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Corners 9.5 | 1.85 (54%) | 1.95 (51%) |
Best available prices, with the implied chance in brackets.
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV: FAQ
Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV?
We make Eintracht Frankfurt 57% to win, the draw 22% and Hamburger SV 21%, so Eintracht Frankfurt are the more likely winners on our numbers. The bookmakers agree, with Eintracht Frankfurt the shorter price. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV?
We give both teams to score a 64% chance, against 67% implied by the best price of 1.50. Our expected goals are 2.0 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.3 for Hamburger SV.
How many goals in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV?
Our model expects about 3.3 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 66% and under 2.5 at 34%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.47. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV kick off?
Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV kicks off at 16:30 UTC on Sunday 1 November 2026, in the Bundesliga.
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