RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg prediction
RB Leipzig
SV ElversbergResult: RB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg
| Pick | Outcome |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | Won |
| RB Leipzig to win | Won |
| Both teams to score | Lost |
Settled on our public track record.
No value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 84%
- Expected goals 3.1–0.7 (most likely score 3-0)
- Last five: RB Leipzig WLWLW, SV Elversberg LWLDL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
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RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg preview
This Bundesliga match between RB Leipzig and SV Elversberg was played on Saturday 24 October. Here is how it shaped up before kick-off. In the standings, SV Elversberg are 8th on 10 points from 7 games and RB Leipzig 5th on 12 points from 7 games. SV Elversberg come into it having lost three of their last five (LWLDL); RB Leipzig have won three of their last five (WLWLW). In front of goal, RB Leipzig score 2.9 and concede 1.6 a game on average; SV Elversberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1. On expected goals we have RB Leipzig at 3.1 and SV Elversberg at 0.7, with 3–0 the most likely score (11%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams to score at 47%. We make RB Leipzig 84% to win, the draw 11% and SV Elversberg 5%. Our verdict is RB Leipzig to win: we rate it at 69%, against 68% implied by the best price of 1.48. The edge is slim at around 2%, so a small drop in the price would remove it.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig win | 84% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 11% | – | – | – |
| SV Elversberg win | 5% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 27% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 47% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 53% | – | – | – |
| RB Leipzig or draw | 95% | – | – | – |
| SV Elversberg or draw | 16% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 89% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 3.1 |
| SV Elversberg | 0.7 |
| Total | 3.8 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| RB Leipzig 3–0 SV Elversberg | 11% |
| RB Leipzig 2–0 SV Elversberg | 11% |
| RB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg | 9% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | |
| SV Elversberg |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 5th | 12 | 7 |
| SV Elversberg | 8th | 10 | 7 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| SV Elversberg | 1.7 | 2.1 |
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg: FAQ
Who will win RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
The match finished RB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg. Before kick-off we made RB Leipzig 84% to win, the draw 11% and SV Elversberg 5%, so RB Leipzig were the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict was RB Leipzig to win at 69%.
Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
We gave both teams to score a 47% chance. Our expected goals are 3.1 for RB Leipzig and 0.7 for SV Elversberg. In the end, both teams did not score.
How many goals in RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg?
Our model expects about 3.8 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 73% and under 2.5 at 27%. The single most likely score is 3–0. The final score was 4–0, 4 goals in all.
What time does RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg kick off?
RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg kicked off at 13:30 UTC on Saturday 24 October 2026, in the Bundesliga.
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