Blackburn vs Stoke City prediction
Blackburn
Stoke CityNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 60%
- Expected goals 1.8–1.3, so 58% for over 2.5 and 60% for both to score
- Last five: Blackburn WLWWD, Stoke City DWLWW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 74% combined.
Expected goals 1.8–1.3, 3.0 in total.
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Blackburn vs Stoke City preview
Blackburn host Stoke City in the Championship on Tuesday 3 November. In the standings, Stoke City are 9th on 20 points from 12 games and Blackburn 10th on 18 points from 12 games. Both sides have won three of their last five: Blackburn WLWWD and Stoke City DWLWW. In front of goal, Blackburn score 1.6 and concede 1.3 a game on average; Stoke City score 1.5 and concede 1.3. On expected goals we have Blackburn at 1.8 and Stoke City at 1.3, with 1–1 the most likely score (12%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 60%. We make Blackburn 48% to win, the draw 26% and Stoke City 26%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 60%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 48% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 26% | – | – | – |
| Stoke City win | 26% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 60% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 40% | – | – | – |
| Blackburn or draw | 74% | – | – | – |
| Stoke City or draw | 52% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 74% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Blackburn | 1.8 |
| Stoke City | 1.3 |
| Total | 3.0 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Blackburn 1–1 Stoke City | 12% |
| Blackburn 2–1 Stoke City | 10% |
| Blackburn 2–0 Stoke City | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Blackburn | |
| Stoke City |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn | 10th | 18 | 12 |
| Stoke City | 9th | 20 | 12 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Stoke City | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Blackburn vs Stoke City: FAQ
Who will win Blackburn vs Stoke City?
We make Blackburn 48% to win, the draw 26% and Stoke City 26%, so Blackburn are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 60%.
Will both teams score in Blackburn vs Stoke City?
We give both teams to score a 60% chance. Our expected goals are 1.8 for Blackburn and 1.3 for Stoke City.
How many goals in Blackburn vs Stoke City?
Our model expects about 3.0 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 58% and under 2.5 at 42%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Blackburn vs Stoke City kick off?
Blackburn vs Stoke City kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Tuesday 3 November 2026, in the Championship.
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