Southampton vs QPR prediction
Southampton
QPRNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 59%
- Expected goals 1.9–0.9 (most likely score 1-1)
- Last five: Southampton WDWWL, QPR WLWDD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
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Southampton vs QPR preview
Southampton welcome QPR on Saturday 31 October in the Championship. In the standings, QPR are 8th on 20 points from 12 games and Southampton 6th on 20 points from 12 games. The two sides are level on points. On form, Southampton have won three of their last five (WDWWL), while QPR have picked up two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five (WLWDD). In front of goal, Southampton score 2.0 and concede 1.0 a game on average; QPR score 1.7 and concede 1.0. Our model expects around 1.9 goals for Southampton and 0.9 for QPR, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 51%. We make Southampton 59% to win, the draw 25% and QPR 17%. Our verdict is Southampton to win: we rate it at 59%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton win | 59% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – | – |
| QPR win | 17% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 51% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 49% | – | – | – |
| Southampton or draw | 83% | – | – | – |
| QPR or draw | 41% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 75% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Southampton | 1.9 |
| QPR | 0.9 |
| Total | 2.8 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Southampton 1–1 QPR | 12% |
| Southampton 2–0 QPR | 11% |
| Southampton 1–0 QPR | 10% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Southampton | |
| QPR |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 6th | 20 | 12 |
| QPR | 8th | 20 | 12 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| QPR | 1.7 | 1.0 |
Southampton vs QPR: FAQ
Who will win Southampton vs QPR?
We make Southampton 59% to win, the draw 25% and QPR 17%, so Southampton are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Southampton to win at 59%.
Will both teams score in Southampton vs QPR?
We give both teams to score a 51% chance. Our expected goals are 1.9 for Southampton and 0.9 for QPR.
How many goals in Southampton vs QPR?
Our model expects about 2.8 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 52% and under 2.5 at 48%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Southampton vs QPR kick off?
Southampton vs QPR kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday 31 October 2026, in the Championship.
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