Cardiff vs West Ham prediction
Cardiff
West HamNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 67%
- Expected goals 1.6–1.7, so 65% for over 2.5 and 67% for both to score
- Last five: Cardiff WDWLW, West Ham LWWDD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Expected goals 1.6–1.7, 3.3 in total.
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 64% combined.
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Cardiff vs West Ham preview
Championship action on Wednesday 4 November sees West Ham travel to face Cardiff. Cardiff sit 16th in the table on 14 points from 12 games, while West Ham are 3rd with 22 points. That puts West Ham 13 places higher. West Ham come into it having picked up two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five (LWWDD); Cardiff have won three of their last five (WDWLW). Cardiff average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, compared with 2.7 and 1.3 for West Ham. On expected goals we have Cardiff at 1.6 and West Ham at 1.7, with 1–1 the most likely score (11%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 67%. We make Cardiff 36% to win, the draw 25% and West Ham 39%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 67%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 36% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – | – |
| West Ham win | 39% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 67% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 33% | – | – | – |
| Cardiff or draw | 61% | – | – | – |
| West Ham or draw | 64% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 75% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Cardiff | 1.6 |
| West Ham | 1.7 |
| Total | 3.3 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Cardiff 1–1 West Ham | 11% |
| Cardiff 1–2 West Ham | 8% |
| Cardiff 2–1 West Ham | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Cardiff | |
| West Ham |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 16th | 14 | 12 |
| West Ham | 3rd | 22 | 12 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| West Ham | 2.7 | 1.3 |
Cardiff vs West Ham: FAQ
Who will win Cardiff vs West Ham?
We make Cardiff 36% to win, the draw 25% and West Ham 39%, so West Ham are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 67%.
Will both teams score in Cardiff vs West Ham?
We give both teams to score a 67% chance. Our expected goals are 1.6 for Cardiff and 1.7 for West Ham.
How many goals in Cardiff vs West Ham?
Our model expects about 3.3 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 65% and under 2.5 at 35%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Cardiff vs West Ham kick off?
Cardiff vs West Ham kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Wednesday 4 November 2026, in the Championship.
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