Charlton vs Bolton prediction
Charlton
BoltonNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 57%
- Expected goals 1.3–1.1, so 43% for over 2.5 and 50% for both to score
- Last five: Charlton LLDDL, Bolton LDWLW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 69% combined.
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Charlton vs Bolton preview
Charlton host Bolton in the Championship on Tuesday 3 November. In the standings, Bolton are 18th on 14 points from 12 games and Charlton 19th on 14 points from 12 games. The two sides are level on points. On form, Charlton have not won any of their last five (two draws, three defeats) (LLDDL), while Bolton have picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (LDWLW). In front of goal, Charlton score 0.9 and concede 1.5 a game on average; Bolton score 1.3 and concede 1.9. On expected goals we have Charlton at 1.3 and Bolton at 1.1, with 1–1 the most likely score (15%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams to score at 50%. We make Charlton 38% to win, the draw 31% and Bolton 31%. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals: we rate it at 57%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 38% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 31% | – | – | – |
| Bolton win | 31% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 50% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 50% | – | – | – |
| Charlton or draw | 69% | – | – | – |
| Bolton or draw | 62% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 69% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Charlton | 1.3 |
| Bolton | 1.1 |
| Total | 2.4 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Charlton 1–1 Bolton | 15% |
| Charlton 0–0 Bolton | 11% |
| Charlton 1–0 Bolton | 10% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Charlton | |
| Bolton |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | 19th | 14 | 12 |
| Bolton | 18th | 14 | 12 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Bolton | 1.3 | 1.9 |
Charlton vs Bolton: FAQ
Who will win Charlton vs Bolton?
We make Charlton 38% to win, the draw 31% and Bolton 31%, so Charlton are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score in Charlton vs Bolton?
We give both teams to score a 50% chance. Our expected goals are 1.3 for Charlton and 1.1 for Bolton.
How many goals in Charlton vs Bolton?
Our model expects about 2.4 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 43% and under 2.5 at 57%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Charlton vs Bolton kick off?
Charlton vs Bolton kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Tuesday 3 November 2026, in the Championship.
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