Charlton vs Sheffield Utd prediction
Charlton
Sheffield UtdNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 64%
- Expected goals 1.1–1.1, so 36% for over 2.5 and 45% for both to score
- Last five: Charlton LLDDL, Sheffield Utd WDWLW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 67% combined.
One side is expected to struggle: 1.1 xG.
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Charlton vs Sheffield Utd preview
Championship action on Saturday 7 November sees Sheffield Utd travel to face Charlton. In the standings, Sheffield Utd are 10th on 19 points from 13 games and Charlton 19th on 14 points from 12 games. That puts Sheffield Utd nine places higher. On form, Charlton have not won any of their last five (two draws, three defeats) (LLDDL), while Sheffield Utd have won three of their last five (WDWLW). Charlton average 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, compared with 1.3 and 1.2 for Sheffield Utd. Our model expects around 1.1 goals for Charlton and 1.1 for Sheffield Utd, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 15%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams to score at 45%. We make Charlton 34% to win, the draw 33% and Sheffield Utd 33%. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals: we rate it at 64%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 34% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 33% | – | – | – |
| Sheffield Utd win | 33% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 45% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 55% | – | – | – |
| Charlton or draw | 67% | – | – | – |
| Sheffield Utd or draw | 66% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 67% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Charlton | 1.1 |
| Sheffield Utd | 1.1 |
| Total | 2.1 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Charlton 1–1 Sheffield Utd | 15% |
| Charlton 0–0 Sheffield Utd | 13% |
| Charlton 1–0 Sheffield Utd | 11% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Charlton | |
| Sheffield Utd |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | 19th | 14 | 12 |
| Sheffield Utd | 10th | 19 | 13 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Sheffield Utd | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Charlton vs Sheffield Utd: FAQ
Who will win Charlton vs Sheffield Utd?
We make Charlton 34% to win, the draw 33% and Sheffield Utd 33%, so Charlton are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals at 64%.
Will both teams score in Charlton vs Sheffield Utd?
We give both teams to score a 45% chance. Our expected goals are 1.1 for Charlton and 1.1 for Sheffield Utd.
How many goals in Charlton vs Sheffield Utd?
Our model expects about 2.1 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 36% and under 2.5 at 64%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Charlton vs Sheffield Utd kick off?
Charlton vs Sheffield Utd kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday 7 November 2026, in the Championship.
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