Portsmouth vs Stoke City prediction
Portsmouth
Stoke CityNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 65%
- Expected goals 1.7–1.5, so 62% for over 2.5 and 65% for both to score
- Last five: Portsmouth WDWWL, Stoke City DWLWW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 66% combined.
Expected goals 1.7–1.5, 3.2 in total.
Build your bet slip
Portsmouth vs Stoke City preview
Portsmouth host Stoke City in the Championship on Saturday 7 November. In the standings, Stoke City are 9th on 20 points from 12 games and Portsmouth 12th on 18 points from 12 games. Both sides have won three of their last five: Portsmouth WDWWL and Stoke City DWLWW. In front of goal, Portsmouth score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game on average; Stoke City score 1.5 and concede 1.3. On expected goals we have Portsmouth at 1.7 and Stoke City at 1.5, with 1–1 the most likely score (12%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 65%. We make Portsmouth 40% to win, the draw 26% and Stoke City 34%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 65%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 40% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 26% | – | – | – |
| Stoke City win | 34% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 65% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 35% | – | – | – |
| Portsmouth or draw | 66% | – | – | – |
| Stoke City or draw | 60% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 74% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Portsmouth | 1.7 |
| Stoke City | 1.5 |
| Total | 3.2 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Portsmouth 1–1 Stoke City | 12% |
| Portsmouth 2–1 Stoke City | 9% |
| Portsmouth 1–2 Stoke City | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Portsmouth | |
| Stoke City |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | 12th | 18 | 12 |
| Stoke City | 9th | 20 | 12 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Stoke City | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Portsmouth vs Stoke City: FAQ
Who will win Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
We make Portsmouth 40% to win, the draw 26% and Stoke City 34%, so Portsmouth are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 65%.
Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
We give both teams to score a 65% chance. Our expected goals are 1.7 for Portsmouth and 1.5 for Stoke City.
How many goals in Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
Our model expects about 3.2 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 62% and under 2.5 at 38%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Portsmouth vs Stoke City kick off?
Portsmouth vs Stoke City kicks off at 12:30 UTC on Saturday 7 November 2026, in the Championship.
Norwich
Watford
Preston
Lincoln
Birmingham
Wolves
Cardiff
Southampton
QPR
Burnley