Preston vs Sheffield Utd prediction
Preston
Sheffield UtdNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 53%
- Expected goals 1.1–1.5, so 48% for over 2.5 and 53% for both to score
- Last five: Preston DLLLD, Sheffield Utd DWLWL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 75% combined.
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Preston vs Sheffield Utd preview
Preston host Sheffield Utd in the Championship on Tuesday 3 November. In the standings, Sheffield Utd are 12th on 16 points from 12 games and Preston 24th on 5 points from 12 games. That puts Sheffield Utd 12 places higher. Sheffield Utd come into it having picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (DWLWL); Preston have not won any of their last five (two draws, three defeats) (DLLLD). Preston average 0.8 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game, compared with 1.3 and 1.3 for Sheffield Utd. Our model expects around 1.1 goals for Preston and 1.5 for Sheffield Utd, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. We make Preston 25% to win, the draw 29% and Sheffield Utd 46%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 53%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 25% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 29% | – | – | – |
| Sheffield Utd win | 46% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 47% | – | – | – |
| Preston or draw | 54% | – | – | – |
| Sheffield Utd or draw | 75% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 71% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Preston | 1.1 |
| Sheffield Utd | 1.5 |
| Total | 2.6 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Preston 1–1 Sheffield Utd | 14% |
| Preston 0–1 Sheffield Utd | 10% |
| Preston 1–2 Sheffield Utd | 9% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Preston | |
| Sheffield Utd |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | 24th | 5 | 12 |
| Sheffield Utd | 12th | 16 | 12 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Preston | 0.8 | 2.1 |
| Sheffield Utd | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Preston vs Sheffield Utd: FAQ
Who will win Preston vs Sheffield Utd?
We make Preston 25% to win, the draw 29% and Sheffield Utd 46%, so Sheffield Utd are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 53%.
Will both teams score in Preston vs Sheffield Utd?
We give both teams to score a 53% chance. Our expected goals are 1.1 for Preston and 1.5 for Sheffield Utd.
How many goals in Preston vs Sheffield Utd?
Our model expects about 2.6 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 48% and under 2.5 at 52%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Preston vs Sheffield Utd kick off?
Preston vs Sheffield Utd kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Tuesday 3 November 2026, in the Championship.
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