Preston vs Southampton prediction
Preston
SouthamptonNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 53%
- Expected goals 1.1–1.5, so 48% for over 2.5 and 53% for both to score
- Last five: Preston DLLLD, Southampton WDWWL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 75% combined.
Build your bet slip
Preston vs Southampton preview
Preston welcome Southampton on Saturday 7 November in the Championship. In the standings, Southampton are 6th on 20 points from 12 games and Preston 24th on 5 points from 12 games. That puts Southampton 18 places higher. Southampton come into it having won three of their last five (WDWWL); Preston have not won any of their last five (two draws, three defeats) (DLLLD). In front of goal, Preston score 0.8 and concede 2.1 a game on average; Southampton score 2.0 and concede 1.0. On expected goals we have Preston at 1.1 and Southampton at 1.5, with 1–1 the most likely score (14%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. We make Preston 25% to win, the draw 29% and Southampton 46%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 53%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston win | 25% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 29% | – | – | – |
| Southampton win | 46% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 47% | – | – | – |
| Preston or draw | 54% | – | – | – |
| Southampton or draw | 75% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 71% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Preston | 1.1 |
| Southampton | 1.5 |
| Total | 2.6 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Preston 1–1 Southampton | 14% |
| Preston 0–1 Southampton | 10% |
| Preston 1–2 Southampton | 9% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Preston | |
| Southampton |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | 24th | 5 | 12 |
| Southampton | 6th | 20 | 12 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Preston | 0.8 | 2.1 |
| Southampton | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Preston vs Southampton: FAQ
Who will win Preston vs Southampton?
We make Preston 25% to win, the draw 29% and Southampton 46%, so Southampton are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 53%.
Will both teams score in Preston vs Southampton?
We give both teams to score a 53% chance. Our expected goals are 1.1 for Preston and 1.5 for Southampton.
How many goals in Preston vs Southampton?
Our model expects about 2.6 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 48% and under 2.5 at 52%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Preston vs Southampton kick off?
Preston vs Southampton kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday 7 November 2026, in the Championship.
Norwich
Watford
Stoke City
Lincoln
Birmingham
Wolves
Cardiff
QPR
Burnley
Portsmouth