QPR vs Lincoln prediction
QPR
LincolnNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 53%
- Expected goals 1.6–0.9, so 47% for over 2.5 and 50% for both to score
- Last five: QPR WLWDD, Lincoln WDLLL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Our model gives QPR the win 53%.
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QPR vs Lincoln preview
QPR host Lincoln in the Championship on Saturday 7 November. In the standings, Lincoln are 15th on 15 points from 12 games and QPR 8th on 20 points from 12 games. That puts QPR seven places higher. Lincoln come into it having lost three of their last five (WDLLL); QPR have picked up two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five (WLWDD). QPR average 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, compared with 1.1 and 1.7 for Lincoln. On expected goals we have QPR at 1.6 and Lincoln at 0.9, with 1–1 the most likely score (13%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 50%. We make QPR 53% to win, the draw 28% and Lincoln 20%. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals: we rate it at 53%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 53% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 28% | – | – | – |
| Lincoln win | 20% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 50% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 50% | – | – | – |
| QPR or draw | 80% | – | – | – |
| Lincoln or draw | 47% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 72% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| QPR | 1.6 |
| Lincoln | 0.9 |
| Total | 2.5 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| QPR 1–1 Lincoln | 13% |
| QPR 1–0 Lincoln | 11% |
| QPR 2–0 Lincoln | 10% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| QPR | |
| Lincoln |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| QPR | 8th | 20 | 12 |
| Lincoln | 15th | 15 | 12 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| QPR | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Lincoln | 1.1 | 1.7 |
QPR vs Lincoln: FAQ
Who will win QPR vs Lincoln?
We make QPR 53% to win, the draw 28% and Lincoln 20%, so QPR are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score in QPR vs Lincoln?
We give both teams to score a 50% chance. Our expected goals are 1.6 for QPR and 0.9 for Lincoln.
How many goals in QPR vs Lincoln?
Our model expects about 2.5 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 47% and under 2.5 at 53%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does QPR vs Lincoln kick off?
QPR vs Lincoln kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday 7 November 2026, in the Championship.