Swansea vs Blackburn prediction
Swansea
BlackburnNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 62%
- Expected goals 1.3–0.9, so 38% for over 2.5 and 44% for both to score
- Last five: Swansea LLWWW, Blackburn WLWWD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 77% combined.
One side is expected to struggle: 0.9 xG.
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Swansea vs Blackburn preview
Swansea host Blackburn in the Championship on Saturday 31 October. Swansea sit 2nd in the table on 23 points from 12 games, while Blackburn are 10th with 18 points. That puts Swansea eight places higher. Both sides have won three of their last five: Swansea LLWWW and Blackburn WLWWD. In front of goal, Swansea score 1.3 and concede 1.1 a game on average; Blackburn score 1.6 and concede 1.3. On expected goals we have Swansea at 1.3 and Blackburn at 0.9, with 1–1 the most likely score (14%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams to score at 44%. We make Swansea 45% to win, the draw 31% and Blackburn 23%. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals: we rate it at 62%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 45% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 31% | – | – | – |
| Blackburn win | 23% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 44% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 56% | – | – | – |
| Swansea or draw | 77% | – | – | – |
| Blackburn or draw | 55% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 69% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Swansea | 1.3 |
| Blackburn | 0.9 |
| Total | 2.2 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Swansea 1–1 Blackburn | 14% |
| Swansea 1–0 Blackburn | 13% |
| Swansea 0–0 Blackburn | 13% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Swansea | |
| Blackburn |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 2nd | 23 | 12 |
| Blackburn | 10th | 18 | 12 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Blackburn | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Swansea vs Blackburn: FAQ
Who will win Swansea vs Blackburn?
We make Swansea 45% to win, the draw 31% and Blackburn 23%, so Swansea are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals at 62%.
Will both teams score in Swansea vs Blackburn?
We give both teams to score a 44% chance. Our expected goals are 1.3 for Swansea and 0.9 for Blackburn.
How many goals in Swansea vs Blackburn?
Our model expects about 2.2 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 38% and under 2.5 at 62%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Swansea vs Blackburn kick off?
Swansea vs Blackburn kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday 31 October 2026, in the Championship.
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