West Brom vs Millwall prediction
West Brom
MillwallNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 58%
- Expected goals 1.8–1.1, so 56% for over 2.5 and 58% for both to score
- Last five: West Brom DWWLL, Millwall LDLWD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Expected goals 1.8–1.2, 2.9 in total.
Our model gives West Brom the win 50%.
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West Brom vs Millwall preview
West Brom welcome Millwall on Saturday 7 November in the Championship. In the standings, Millwall are 13th on 15 points from 12 games and West Brom 5th on 21 points from 12 games. That puts West Brom eight places higher. Recent results matter here: West Brom have picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (DWWLL) and Millwall have picked up one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five (LDLWD). West Brom average 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game, compared with 1.6 and 1.7 for Millwall. Our model expects around 1.8 goals for West Brom and 1.2 for Millwall, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 58%. We make West Brom 50% to win, the draw 26% and Millwall 24%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 58%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 50% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 26% | – | – | – |
| Millwall win | 24% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 58% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 42% | – | – | – |
| West Brom or draw | 76% | – | – | – |
| Millwall or draw | 50% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 74% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| West Brom | 1.8 |
| Millwall | 1.2 |
| Total | 2.9 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| West Brom 1–1 Millwall | 12% |
| West Brom 2–1 Millwall | 10% |
| West Brom 2–0 Millwall | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| West Brom | |
| Millwall |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 5th | 21 | 12 |
| Millwall | 13th | 15 | 12 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Millwall | 1.6 | 1.7 |
West Brom vs Millwall: FAQ
Who will win West Brom vs Millwall?
We make West Brom 50% to win, the draw 26% and Millwall 24%, so West Brom are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 58%.
Will both teams score in West Brom vs Millwall?
We give both teams to score a 58% chance. Our expected goals are 1.8 for West Brom and 1.2 for Millwall.
How many goals in West Brom vs Millwall?
Our model expects about 2.9 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 56% and under 2.5 at 44%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does West Brom vs Millwall kick off?
West Brom vs Millwall kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday 7 November 2026, in the Championship.
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