West Brom vs Southampton prediction
West Brom
SouthamptonNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 53%
- Expected goals 1.4–1.1, so 47% for over 2.5 and 53% for both to score
- Last five: West Brom DWWLL, Southampton WDWWL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 71% combined.
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West Brom vs Southampton preview
West Brom welcome Southampton on Tuesday 3 November in the Championship. West Brom sit 5th in the table on 21 points from 12 games, while Southampton are 6th with 20 points. On form, West Brom have picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (DWWLL), while Southampton have won three of their last five (WDWWL). In front of goal, West Brom score 1.3 and concede 1.1 a game on average; Southampton score 2.0 and concede 1.0. Our model expects around 1.4 goals for West Brom and 1.2 for Southampton, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 53%. We make West Brom 41% to win, the draw 29% and Southampton 29%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 53%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 41% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 29% | – | – | – |
| Southampton win | 29% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 53% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 47% | – | – | – |
| West Brom or draw | 71% | – | – | – |
| Southampton or draw | 59% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 71% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| West Brom | 1.4 |
| Southampton | 1.2 |
| Total | 2.6 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| West Brom 1–1 Southampton | 14% |
| West Brom 1–0 Southampton | 9% |
| West Brom 0–0 Southampton | 9% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| West Brom | |
| Southampton |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 5th | 21 | 12 |
| Southampton | 6th | 20 | 12 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Southampton | 2.0 | 1.0 |
West Brom vs Southampton: FAQ
Who will win West Brom vs Southampton?
We make West Brom 41% to win, the draw 29% and Southampton 29%, so West Brom are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 53%.
Will both teams score in West Brom vs Southampton?
We give both teams to score a 53% chance. Our expected goals are 1.4 for West Brom and 1.2 for Southampton.
How many goals in West Brom vs Southampton?
Our model expects about 2.6 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 47% and under 2.5 at 53%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does West Brom vs Southampton kick off?
West Brom vs Southampton kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Tuesday 3 November 2026, in the Championship.
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