West Ham vs West Brom prediction
West Ham
West BromNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 62%
- Expected goals 1.9–1.3, so 62% for over 2.5 and 62% for both to score
- Last five: West Ham LWWDD, West Brom DWWLL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Expected goals 1.9–1.3, 3.2 in total.
Our model gives West Ham the win 52%.
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West Ham vs West Brom preview
Championship action on Saturday 31 October sees West Brom travel to face West Ham. West Ham sit 3rd in the table on 22 points from 12 games, while West Brom are 5th with 21 points. Recent results matter here: West Ham have picked up two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five (LWWDD) and West Brom have picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (DWWLL). West Ham average 2.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, compared with 1.3 and 1.1 for West Brom. Our model expects around 1.9 goals for West Ham and 1.3 for West Brom, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 62%. We make West Ham 52% to win, the draw 24% and West Brom 23%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 62%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham win | 52% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 24% | – | – | – |
| West Brom win | 23% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 62% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 38% | – | – | – |
| West Ham or draw | 77% | – | – | – |
| West Brom or draw | 48% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 76% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| West Ham | 1.9 |
| West Brom | 1.3 |
| Total | 3.2 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| West Ham 1–1 West Brom | 11% |
| West Ham 2–1 West Brom | 10% |
| West Ham 2–0 West Brom | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| West Ham | |
| West Brom |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 3rd | 22 | 12 |
| West Brom | 5th | 21 | 12 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| West Brom | 1.3 | 1.1 |
West Ham vs West Brom: FAQ
Who will win West Ham vs West Brom?
We make West Ham 52% to win, the draw 24% and West Brom 23%, so West Ham are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 62%.
Will both teams score in West Ham vs West Brom?
We give both teams to score a 62% chance. Our expected goals are 1.9 for West Ham and 1.3 for West Brom.
How many goals in West Ham vs West Brom?
Our model expects about 3.2 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 62% and under 2.5 at 38%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does West Ham vs West Brom kick off?
West Ham vs West Brom kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday 31 October 2026, in the Championship.
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