Arsenal vs Hull City prediction
Arsenal
Hull CityNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 61%; the best price of 1.55 implies 65%
- Expected goals 1.7–0.8, so 61% for over 2.5 and 42% for both to score
- Last five: Arsenal WWWLW, Hull City DLDLD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Our model gives Arsenal the win 81%.
One side is expected to struggle: 0.8 xG.
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Arsenal vs Hull City preview
Arsenal welcome Hull City on Saturday 7 November in the Premier League. In the standings, Hull City are 10th on 10 points from 8 games and Arsenal 2nd on 21 points from 8 games. That puts Arsenal eight places higher. Hull City come into it having not won any of their last five (three draws, two defeats) (DLDLD); Arsenal have won four of their last five (WWWLW). Arsenal average 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game, compared with 1.1 and 1.0 for Hull City. On expected goals we have Arsenal at 1.7 and Hull City at 0.8, with 1–1 the most likely score (13%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 42%. We make Arsenal 81% to win, the draw 13% and Hull City 6%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 84%, 12% and 5%. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals: we rate it at 61%, against 65% implied by the best price of 1.55. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal win | 81% | 1.19 | 84% | -4% |
| Draw | 13% | 8.40 | 12% | +12% |
| Hull City win | 6% | 21.00 | 5% | +25% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.55 | 65% | -5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.62 | 38% | +2% |
| Both teams to score | 42% | 2.30 | 43% | -3% |
| Not both to score | 58% | 1.65 | 61% | -5% |
| Arsenal or draw | 94% | 1.04 | 96% | -2% |
| Hull City or draw | 19% | 5.50 | 18% | +6% |
| Either team to win | 87% | 1.11 | 90% | -4% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1.7 |
| Hull City | 0.8 |
| Total | 2.5 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Arsenal 1–1 Hull City | 13% |
| Arsenal 1–0 Hull City | 12% |
| Arsenal 2–0 Hull City | 11% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Arsenal | |
| Hull City |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 2nd | 21 | 8 |
| Hull City | 10th | 10 | 8 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Hull City | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Arsenal vs Hull City: FAQ
Who will win Arsenal vs Hull City?
We make Arsenal 81% to win, the draw 13% and Hull City 6%, so Arsenal are the more likely winners on our numbers. The bookmakers agree, with Arsenal the shorter price. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Hull City?
We give both teams to score a 42% chance, against 43% implied by the best price of 2.30. Our expected goals are 1.7 for Arsenal and 0.8 for Hull City.
How many goals in Arsenal vs Hull City?
Our model expects about 2.5 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 61% and under 2.5 at 39%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.55. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Arsenal vs Hull City kick off?
Arsenal vs Hull City kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday 7 November 2026, in the Premier League.
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