Brentford vs Nottingham Forest prediction
Brentford
Nottingham ForestNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 56%; the best price of 1.78 implies 56%
- Expected goals 1.9–1.1, so 56% for over 2.5 and 58% for both to score
- Last five: Brentford LDWDD, Nottingham Forest DLLLW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 74% combined.
Both sides expected to score: 1.9 and 1.1 xG.
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Brentford vs Nottingham Forest preview
Premier League action on Saturday 31 October sees Nottingham Forest travel to face Brentford. In the standings, Nottingham Forest are 18th on 6 points from 8 games and Brentford 7th on 10 points from 7 games. That puts Brentford 11 places higher. Recent results matter here: Brentford have picked up one win, three draws and one defeat in their last five (LDWDD) and Nottingham Forest have lost three of their last five (DLLLW). In front of goal, Brentford score 1.9 and concede 1.1 a game on average; Nottingham Forest score 0.8 and concede 1.3. On expected goals we have Brentford at 1.9 and Nottingham Forest at 1.1, with 1–1 the most likely score (12%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 58%. We make Brentford 49% to win, the draw 25% and Nottingham Forest 26%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 48%, 26% and 27%. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals: we rate it at 56%, against 56% implied by the best price of 1.78. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford win | 49% | 2.07 | 48% | +1% |
| Draw | 25% | 3.88 | 26% | -2% |
| Nottingham Forest win | 26% | 3.65 | 27% | -6% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | 56% | -1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.20 | 45% | -3% |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 1.65 | 61% | -5% |
| Not both to score | 42% | 2.25 | 44% | -5% |
| Brentford or draw | 74% | 1.33 | 75% | -1% |
| Nottingham Forest or draw | 51% | 1.85 | 54% | -6% |
| Either team to win | 75% | 1.30 | 77% | -3% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Brentford | 1.9 |
| Nottingham Forest | 1.1 |
| Total | 3.0 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Brentford 1–1 Nottingham Forest | 12% |
| Brentford 2–1 Nottingham Forest | 10% |
| Brentford 2–0 Nottingham Forest | 9% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Brentford | |
| Nottingham Forest |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 7th | 10 | 7 |
| Nottingham Forest | 18th | 6 | 8 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Nottingham Forest | 0.8 | 1.3 |
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest: FAQ
Who will win Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?
We make Brentford 49% to win, the draw 25% and Nottingham Forest 26%, so Brentford are the more likely winners on our numbers. The bookmakers agree, with Brentford the shorter price. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?
We give both teams to score a 58% chance, against 61% implied by the best price of 1.65. Our expected goals are 1.9 for Brentford and 1.1 for Nottingham Forest.
How many goals in Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?
Our model expects about 3.0 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 56% and under 2.5 at 44%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.78. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Brentford vs Nottingham Forest kick off?
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday 31 October 2026, in the Premier League.