Everton vs Coventry prediction
Everton
CoventryNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 59%; the best price of 1.68 implies 60%
- Expected goals 1.5–0.8 (most likely score 1-1)
- Last five: Everton LLDWD, Coventry LLWWL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Both sides expected to score: 1.5 and 0.8 xG.
Build your bet slip
Everton vs Coventry preview
Everton host Coventry in the Premier League on Friday 6 November. Everton sit 11th in the table on 10 points from 8 games, while Coventry are 19th with 6 points. That puts Everton eight places higher. Coventry come into it having lost three of their last five (LLWWL); Everton have picked up one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five (LLDWD). In front of goal, Everton score 1.0 and concede 1.1 a game on average; Coventry score 0.8 and concede 1.9. Our model expects around 1.5 goals for Everton and 0.8 for Coventry, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 53%. We make Everton 59% to win, the draw 24% and Coventry 18%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 60%, 23% and 17%. Our verdict is Everton to win: we rate it at 59%, against 60% implied by the best price of 1.68. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton win | 59% | 1.68 | 60% | -2% |
| Draw | 24% | 4.31 | 23% | +2% |
| Coventry win | 18% | 5.75 | 17% | +1% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.79 | 56% | -4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 | 46% | +1% |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 1.80 | 56% | -5% |
| Not both to score | 47% | 2.10 | 48% | -1% |
| Everton or draw | 82% | 1.20 | 83% | -1% |
| Coventry or draw | 41% | 2.50 | 40% | +3% |
| Either team to win | 76% | 1.26 | 79% | -4% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Everton | 1.5 |
| Coventry | 0.8 |
| Total | 2.3 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Everton 1–1 Coventry | 14% |
| Everton 1–0 Coventry | 13% |
| Everton 0–0 Coventry | 11% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Everton | |
| Coventry |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 11th | 10 | 8 |
| Coventry | 19th | 6 | 8 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Everton | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Coventry | 0.8 | 1.9 |
Everton vs Coventry: FAQ
Who will win Everton vs Coventry?
We make Everton 59% to win, the draw 24% and Coventry 18%, so Everton are the more likely winners on our numbers. The bookmakers agree, with Everton the shorter price. Our verdict is Everton to win at 59%.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Coventry?
We give both teams to score a 53% chance, against 56% implied by the best price of 1.80. Our expected goals are 1.5 for Everton and 0.8 for Coventry.
How many goals in Everton vs Coventry?
Our model expects about 2.3 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 54% and under 2.5 at 46%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.79. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Everton vs Coventry kick off?
Everton vs Coventry kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Friday 6 November 2026, in the Premier League.
Chelsea
Manchester United
Bournemouth
Leeds
Manchester City
Brighton
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Hull City
Ipswich
Sunderland