Leeds vs Tottenham prediction
Leeds
TottenhamNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 66%; the best price of 1.50 implies 67%
- Expected goals 1.3–0.8 (most likely score 1-1)
- Last five: Leeds DDLDW, Tottenham WWDLD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Both sides expected to score: 1.3 and 0.9 xG.
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Leeds vs Tottenham preview
Leeds host Tottenham in the Premier League on Saturday 7 November. In the standings, Tottenham are 14th on 9 points from 8 games and Leeds 7th on 11 points from 8 games. That puts Leeds seven places higher. Tottenham come into it having picked up two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five (WWDLD); Leeds have picked up one win, three draws and one defeat in their last five (DDLDW). In front of goal, Leeds score 1.1 and concede 0.8 a game on average; Tottenham score 1.0 and concede 1.3. On expected goals we have Leeds at 1.3 and Tottenham at 0.9, with 1–1 the most likely score (14%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 54%. We make Leeds 39% to win, the draw 28% and Tottenham 34%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 38%, 28% and 35%. Our verdict is Leeds or draw: we rate it at 66%, against 67% implied by the best price of 1.50. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds win | 39% | 2.62 | 38% | +1% |
| Draw | 28% | 3.62 | 28% | +1% |
| Tottenham win | 34% | 2.86 | 35% | -4% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 1.98 | 51% | -4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 | 51% | +2% |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 1.73 | 58% | -7% |
| Not both to score | 46% | 2.10 | 48% | -3% |
| Leeds or draw | 66% | 1.50 | 67% | 0% |
| Tottenham or draw | 61% | 1.57 | 64% | -4% |
| Either team to win | 72% | 1.33 | 75% | -4% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Leeds | 1.3 |
| Tottenham | 0.9 |
| Total | 2.1 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Leeds 1–1 Tottenham | 14% |
| Leeds 1–0 Tottenham | 14% |
| Leeds 0–0 Tottenham | 13% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Leeds | |
| Tottenham |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds | 7th | 11 | 8 |
| Tottenham | 14th | 9 | 8 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Tottenham | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Leeds vs Tottenham: FAQ
Who will win Leeds vs Tottenham?
We make Leeds 39% to win, the draw 28% and Tottenham 34%, so Leeds are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. The bookmakers agree, with Leeds the shorter price. Our verdict is Leeds or draw at 66%.
Will both teams score in Leeds vs Tottenham?
We give both teams to score a 54% chance, against 58% implied by the best price of 1.73. Our expected goals are 1.3 for Leeds and 0.9 for Tottenham.
How many goals in Leeds vs Tottenham?
Our model expects about 2.1 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 49% and under 2.5 at 51%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.98. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Leeds vs Tottenham kick off?
Leeds vs Tottenham kicks off at 12:30 UTC on Saturday 7 November 2026, in the Premier League.
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