Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City prediction

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City preview

Nottingham Forest host Manchester City in the Premier League on Saturday 7 November. In the standings, Manchester City are 1st on 21 points from 8 games and Nottingham Forest 18th on 6 points from 8 games. That puts Manchester City 17 places higher. On form, Nottingham Forest have lost three of their last five (DLLLW), while Manchester City have won four of their last five (LWWWW). Nottingham Forest average 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, compared with 2.5 and 1.1 for Manchester City. Our model expects around 0.7 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.4 for Manchester City, and 0–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 17%.

We put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 56%. We make Nottingham Forest 19% to win, the draw 23% and Manchester City 58%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 19%, 23% and 60%. Our verdict is Manchester City to win: we rate it at 58%, against 60% implied by the best price of 1.68. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.