FC Porto vs Estoril prediction
FC Porto
EstorilNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 66%
- Expected goals 2.0–0.7 (most likely score 2-0)
- Last five: FC Porto WWWWW, Estoril LLLDL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
One side is expected to struggle: 0.7 xG.
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FC Porto vs Estoril preview
Primeira Liga action on Saturday 31 October sees Estoril travel to face FC Porto. FC Porto sit 1st in the table on 24 points from 8 games, while Estoril are 18th with 2 points. That puts FC Porto 17 places higher. Estoril come into it having not won any of their last five (one draw, four defeats) (LLLDL); FC Porto have won each of their last five (WWWWW). In front of goal, FC Porto score 2.5 and concede 0.5 a game on average; Estoril score 0.5 and concede 1.5. Our model expects around 2.0 goals for FC Porto and 0.7 for Estoril, and 2–0 is the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 46%. We make FC Porto 66% to win, the draw 23% and Estoril 12%. Our verdict is FC Porto to win: we rate it at 66%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto win | 66% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 23% | – | – | – |
| Estoril win | 12% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 46% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 54% | – | – | – |
| FC Porto or draw | 88% | – | – | – |
| Estoril or draw | 34% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 77% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| FC Porto | 2.0 |
| Estoril | 0.7 |
| Total | 2.7 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| FC Porto 2–0 Estoril | 13% |
| FC Porto 1–0 Estoril | 12% |
| FC Porto 1–1 Estoril | 11% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| FC Porto | |
| Estoril |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 1st | 24 | 8 |
| Estoril | 18th | 2 | 8 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| FC Porto | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Estoril | 0.5 | 1.5 |
FC Porto vs Estoril: FAQ
Who will win FC Porto vs Estoril?
We make FC Porto 66% to win, the draw 23% and Estoril 12%, so FC Porto are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is FC Porto to win at 66%.
Will both teams score in FC Porto vs Estoril?
We give both teams to score a 46% chance. Our expected goals are 2.0 for FC Porto and 0.7 for Estoril.
How many goals in FC Porto vs Estoril?
Our model expects about 2.7 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 51% and under 2.5 at 49%. The single most likely score is 2–0.
What time does FC Porto vs Estoril kick off?
FC Porto vs Estoril kicks off at 20:30 UTC on Saturday 31 October 2026, in the Primeira Liga.
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