Maritimo vs Santa Clara prediction
Maritimo
Santa ClaraNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 59%
- Expected goals 0.8–1.5, so 41% for over 2.5 and 46% for both to score
- Last five: Maritimo LLDLL, Santa Clara WDWWD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
One side is expected to struggle: 0.9 xG.
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Maritimo vs Santa Clara preview
Primeira Liga action on Sunday 1 November sees Santa Clara travel to face Maritimo. Maritimo sit 13th in the table on 8 points from 9 games, while Santa Clara are 4th with 18 points. That puts Santa Clara nine places higher. Recent results matter here: Maritimo have not won any of their last five (one draw, four defeats) (LLDLL) and Santa Clara have gone unbeaten in their last five, with three wins and two draws (WDWWD). Maritimo average 1.0 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game, compared with 1.5 and 0.5 for Santa Clara. On expected goals we have Maritimo at 0.9 and Santa Clara at 1.5, with 1–1 the most likely score (14%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams to score at 46%. We make Maritimo 20% to win, the draw 29% and Santa Clara 51%. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals: we rate it at 59%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maritimo win | 20% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 29% | – | – | – |
| Santa Clara win | 51% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 46% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 54% | – | – | – |
| Maritimo or draw | 49% | – | – | – |
| Santa Clara or draw | 80% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 71% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Maritimo | 0.9 |
| Santa Clara | 1.5 |
| Total | 2.3 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Maritimo 1–1 Santa Clara | 14% |
| Maritimo 0–1 Santa Clara | 13% |
| Maritimo 0–0 Santa Clara | 11% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Maritimo | |
| Santa Clara |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maritimo | 13th | 8 | 9 |
| Santa Clara | 4th | 18 | 8 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Maritimo | 1.0 | 2.1 |
| Santa Clara | 1.5 | 0.5 |
Maritimo vs Santa Clara: FAQ
Who will win Maritimo vs Santa Clara?
We make Maritimo 20% to win, the draw 29% and Santa Clara 51%, so Santa Clara are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score in Maritimo vs Santa Clara?
We give both teams to score a 46% chance. Our expected goals are 0.9 for Maritimo and 1.5 for Santa Clara.
How many goals in Maritimo vs Santa Clara?
Our model expects about 2.3 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 41% and under 2.5 at 59%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Maritimo vs Santa Clara kick off?
Maritimo vs Santa Clara kicks off at 18:00 UTC on Sunday 1 November 2026, in the Primeira Liga.
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Moreirense
Nacional
SC Braga
Rio Ave
Famalicao
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Academico Viseu
Benfica
Casa Pia