SC Braga vs Famalicao prediction
SC Braga
FamalicaoNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 54%
- Expected goals 1.1–1.5, so 46% for over 2.5 and 52% for both to score
- Last five: SC Braga LLDWL, Famalicao LWDDD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 75% combined.
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SC Braga vs Famalicao preview
SC Braga host Famalicao in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 1 November. In the standings, Famalicao are 14th on 7 points from 8 games and SC Braga 9th on 11 points from 8 games. On form, SC Braga have lost three of their last five (LLDWL), while Famalicao have picked up one win, three draws and one defeat in their last five (LWDDD). In front of goal, SC Braga score 1.1 and concede 1.3 a game on average; Famalicao score 1.3 and concede 1.4. Our model expects around 1.1 goals for SC Braga and 1.5 for Famalicao, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 52%. We make SC Braga 25% to win, the draw 29% and Famalicao 46%. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals: we rate it at 54%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga win | 25% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 29% | – | – | – |
| Famalicao win | 46% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 48% | – | – | – |
| SC Braga or draw | 54% | – | – | – |
| Famalicao or draw | 75% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 71% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| SC Braga | 1.1 |
| Famalicao | 1.5 |
| Total | 2.5 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| SC Braga 1–1 Famalicao | 14% |
| SC Braga 0–1 Famalicao | 10% |
| SC Braga 0–0 Famalicao | 9% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| SC Braga | |
| Famalicao |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga | 9th | 11 | 8 |
| Famalicao | 14th | 7 | 8 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| SC Braga | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Famalicao | 1.3 | 1.4 |
SC Braga vs Famalicao: FAQ
Who will win SC Braga vs Famalicao?
We make SC Braga 25% to win, the draw 29% and Famalicao 46%, so Famalicao are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score in SC Braga vs Famalicao?
We give both teams to score a 52% chance. Our expected goals are 1.1 for SC Braga and 1.5 for Famalicao.
How many goals in SC Braga vs Famalicao?
Our model expects about 2.5 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 46% and under 2.5 at 54%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does SC Braga vs Famalicao kick off?
SC Braga vs Famalicao kicks off at 20:30 UTC on Sunday 1 November 2026, in the Primeira Liga.
Estoril
Moreirense
Nacional
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
Academico Viseu
Santa Clara
Benfica
Casa Pia