Manchester United vs AS Roma prediction
Manchester United
AS RomaNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 72%
- Expected goals 2.5–1.2, so 72% for over 2.5 and 66% for both to score
- Last five: Manchester United LLW, AS Roma WLD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Both sides expected to score: 2.5 and 1.2 xG.
Our model gives Manchester United the win 63%.
Build your bet slip
Manchester United vs AS Roma preview
Manchester United host AS Roma in the Champions League on Tuesday 3 November. In the standings, AS Roma are 15th on 4 points from 3 games and Manchester United 20th on 3 points from 3 games. Recent results matter here: Manchester United have picked up one win, no draws and two defeats in their last three (LLW) and AS Roma have picked up one win, one draw and one defeat in their last three (WLD). In front of goal, Manchester United score 1.7 and concede 2.0 a game on average; AS Roma score 2.7 and concede 1.7. On expected goals we have Manchester United at 2.5 and AS Roma at 1.2, with 2–1 the most likely score (9%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 66%. We make Manchester United 63% to win, the draw 20% and AS Roma 17%. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals: we rate it at 72%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United win | 63% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 20% | – | – | – |
| AS Roma win | 17% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 66% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 34% | – | – | – |
| Manchester United or draw | 83% | – | – | – |
| AS Roma or draw | 37% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 80% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Manchester United | 2.5 |
| AS Roma | 1.2 |
| Total | 3.7 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Manchester United 2–1 AS Roma | 9% |
| Manchester United 1–1 AS Roma | 8% |
| Manchester United 3–1 AS Roma | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 3) | Results |
|---|---|
| Manchester United | |
| AS Roma |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 20th | 3 | 3 |
| AS Roma | 15th | 4 | 3 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| AS Roma | 2.7 | 1.7 |
Manchester United vs AS Roma: FAQ
Who will win Manchester United vs AS Roma?
We make Manchester United 63% to win, the draw 20% and AS Roma 17%, so Manchester United are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals at 72%.
Will both teams score in Manchester United vs AS Roma?
We give both teams to score a 66% chance. Our expected goals are 2.5 for Manchester United and 1.2 for AS Roma.
How many goals in Manchester United vs AS Roma?
Our model expects about 3.7 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 72% and under 2.5 at 28%. The single most likely score is 2–1.
What time does Manchester United vs AS Roma kick off?
Manchester United vs AS Roma kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Tuesday 3 November 2026, in the Champions League.
Shakhtar Donetsk
Sporting CP
Galatasaray
VfB Stuttgart
Feyenoord
Inter
Bodo/Glimt
Lille
Barcelona
Aston Villa
Atletico Madrid
Bayern München