Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP prediction
Shakhtar Donetsk
Sporting CPNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 72%
- Expected goals 2.1–1.6, so 72% for over 2.5 and 71% for both to score
- Last five: Shakhtar Donetsk LWD, Sporting CP LWW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Both sides expected to score: 2.2 and 1.6 xG.
Build your bet slip
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP preview
Shakhtar Donetsk host Sporting CP in the Champions League on Tuesday 3 November. Shakhtar Donetsk sit 17th in the table on 4 points from 3 games, while Sporting CP are 12th with 6 points. Sporting CP come into it having picked up two wins, no draws and one defeat in their last three (LWW); Shakhtar Donetsk have picked up one win, one draw and one defeat in their last three (LWD). Shakhtar Donetsk average 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, compared with 2.3 and 1.3 for Sporting CP. Our model expects around 2.2 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.6 for Sporting CP, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 71%. We make Shakhtar Donetsk 50% to win, the draw 23% and Sporting CP 27%. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals: we rate it at 72%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk win | 50% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 23% | – | – | – |
| Sporting CP win | 27% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 71% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 29% | – | – | – |
| Shakhtar Donetsk or draw | 73% | – | – | – |
| Sporting CP or draw | 50% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 77% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 2.2 |
| Sporting CP | 1.6 |
| Total | 3.7 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk 1–1 Sporting CP | 9% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 2–1 Sporting CP | 9% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk 2–2 Sporting CP | 7% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 3) | Results |
|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | |
| Sporting CP |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 17th | 4 | 3 |
| Sporting CP | 12th | 6 | 3 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Sporting CP | 2.3 | 1.3 |
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: FAQ
Who will win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
We make Shakhtar Donetsk 50% to win, the draw 23% and Sporting CP 27%, so Shakhtar Donetsk are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Over 2.5 goals at 72%.
Will both teams score in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
We give both teams to score a 71% chance. Our expected goals are 2.2 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.6 for Sporting CP.
How many goals in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP?
Our model expects about 3.7 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 72% and under 2.5 at 28%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP kick off?
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Tuesday 3 November 2026, in the Champions League.
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