RB Leipzig vs Manchester City prediction
RB Leipzig
Manchester CityNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 65%
- Expected goals 1.9–1.4, so 63% for over 2.5 and 65% for both to score
- Last five: RB Leipzig LWL, Manchester City WLW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 73% combined.
Expected goals 1.9–1.4, 3.3 in total.
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RB Leipzig vs Manchester City preview
Champions League action on Wednesday 4 November sees Manchester City travel to face RB Leipzig. RB Leipzig sit 30th in the table on 3 points from 3 games, while Manchester City are 10th with 6 points. That puts Manchester City 20 places higher. Manchester City come into it having picked up two wins, no draws and one defeat in their last three (WLW); RB Leipzig have picked up one win, no draws and two defeats in their last three (LWL). In front of goal, RB Leipzig score 1.0 and concede 2.7 a game on average; Manchester City score 3.0 and concede 1.7. Our model expects around 1.9 goals for RB Leipzig and 1.4 for Manchester City, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 65%. We make RB Leipzig 48% to win, the draw 25% and Manchester City 27%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 65%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig win | 48% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – | – |
| Manchester City win | 27% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 65% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 35% | – | – | – |
| RB Leipzig or draw | 73% | – | – | – |
| Manchester City or draw | 52% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 75% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 1.9 |
| Manchester City | 1.4 |
| Total | 3.3 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| RB Leipzig 1–1 Manchester City | 11% |
| RB Leipzig 2–1 Manchester City | 9% |
| RB Leipzig 1–2 Manchester City | 7% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 3) | Results |
|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | |
| Manchester City |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 30th | 3 | 3 |
| Manchester City | 10th | 6 | 3 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 1.0 | 2.7 |
| Manchester City | 3.0 | 1.7 |
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City: FAQ
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?
We make RB Leipzig 48% to win, the draw 25% and Manchester City 27%, so RB Leipzig are the more likely winners on our numbers. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 65%.
Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?
We give both teams to score a 65% chance. Our expected goals are 1.9 for RB Leipzig and 1.4 for Manchester City.
How many goals in RB Leipzig vs Manchester City?
Our model expects about 3.3 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 63% and under 2.5 at 37%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does RB Leipzig vs Manchester City kick off?
RB Leipzig vs Manchester City kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Wednesday 4 November 2026, in the Champions League.
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