Slavia Praha vs Arsenal prediction
Slavia Praha
ArsenalNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 73%
- Expected goals 2.0–1.8, so 73% for over 2.5 and 73% for both to score
- Last five: Slavia Praha DLL, Arsenal DWW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Expected goals 2.0–1.8, 3.8 in total.
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 66% combined.
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Slavia Praha vs Arsenal preview
Slavia Praha host Arsenal in the Champions League on Wednesday 4 November. In the standings, Arsenal are 7th on 7 points from 3 games and Slavia Praha 32nd on 1 point from 3 games. That puts Arsenal 25 places higher. Recent results matter here: Slavia Praha have not won any of their last three (one draw, two defeats) (DLL) and Arsenal have gone unbeaten in their last three, with two wins and one draw (DWW). In front of goal, Slavia Praha score 1.3 and concede 2.3 a game on average; Arsenal score 2.0 and concede 0.7. Our model expects around 2.0 goals for Slavia Praha and 1.8 for Arsenal, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 9%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams to score at 73%. We make Slavia Praha 42% to win, the draw 23% and Arsenal 34%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 73%. We do not have a bookmaker price for it yet, so we cannot say whether there is value. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Praha win | 42% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 23% | – | – | – |
| Arsenal win | 34% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 27% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 73% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 27% | – | – | – |
| Slavia Praha or draw | 66% | – | – | – |
| Arsenal or draw | 57% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 77% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Slavia Praha | 2.0 |
| Arsenal | 1.8 |
| Total | 3.8 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Slavia Praha 1–1 Arsenal | 9% |
| Slavia Praha 2–1 Arsenal | 8% |
| Slavia Praha 2–2 Arsenal | 7% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 3) | Results |
|---|---|
| Slavia Praha | |
| Arsenal |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Praha | 32nd | 1 | 3 |
| Arsenal | 7th | 7 | 3 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Slavia Praha | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Arsenal | 2.0 | 0.7 |
Slavia Praha vs Arsenal: FAQ
Who will win Slavia Praha vs Arsenal?
We make Slavia Praha 42% to win, the draw 23% and Arsenal 34%, so Slavia Praha are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 73%.
Will both teams score in Slavia Praha vs Arsenal?
We give both teams to score a 73% chance. Our expected goals are 2.0 for Slavia Praha and 1.8 for Arsenal.
How many goals in Slavia Praha vs Arsenal?
Our model expects about 3.8 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 73% and under 2.5 at 27%. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Slavia Praha vs Arsenal kick off?
Slavia Praha vs Arsenal kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Wednesday 4 November 2026, in the Champions League.
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