Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna prediction
Deportivo La Coruna
OsasunaNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 54%; the best price of 1.73 implies 58%
- Expected goals 2.2–1.2, so 46% for over 2.5 and 50% for both to score
- Last five: Deportivo La Coruna LDLDL, Osasuna WLDLL
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 74% combined.
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Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna preview
La Liga action on Monday 2 November sees Osasuna travel to face Deportivo La Coruna. Deportivo La Coruna sit 11th in the table on 11 points from 10 games, while Osasuna are 12th with 11 points. The two sides are level on points. On form, Deportivo La Coruna have not won any of their last five (two draws, three defeats) (LDLDL), while Osasuna have lost three of their last five (WLDLL). In front of goal, Deportivo La Coruna score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game on average; Osasuna score 1.1 and concede 2.0. Our model expects around 2.2 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 1.2 for Osasuna, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 50%. We make Deportivo La Coruna 45% to win, the draw 28% and Osasuna 26%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 44%, 29% and 27%. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals: we rate it at 54%, against 58% implied by the best price of 1.73. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna win | 45% | 2.28 | 44% | +3% |
| Draw | 28% | 3.42 | 29% | -3% |
| Osasuna win | 26% | 3.67 | 27% | -3% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.28 | 44% | +4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.73 | 58% | -6% |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 1.95 | 51% | -2% |
| Not both to score | 50% | 1.85 | 54% | -8% |
| Deportivo La Coruna or draw | 74% | 1.35 | 74% | -1% |
| Osasuna or draw | 55% | 1.70 | 59% | -7% |
| Either team to win | 72% | 1.36 | 74% | -3% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna | 2.2 |
| Osasuna | 1.2 |
| Total | 3.5 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 Osasuna | 10% |
| Deportivo La Coruna 2–1 Osasuna | 10% |
| Deportivo La Coruna 2–0 Osasuna | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna | |
| Osasuna |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna | 11th | 11 | 10 |
| Osasuna | 12th | 11 | 9 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Osasuna | 1.1 | 2.0 |
Corners and cards lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Corners 9.5 | 2.02 (50%) | 1.78 (56%) |
Best available prices, with the implied chance in brackets.
Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna: FAQ
Who will win Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna?
We make Deportivo La Coruna 45% to win, the draw 28% and Osasuna 26%, so Deportivo La Coruna are the more likely winners on our numbers. The bookmakers agree, with Deportivo La Coruna the shorter price. Our verdict is Under 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna?
We give both teams to score a 50% chance, against 51% implied by the best price of 1.95. Our expected goals are 2.2 for Deportivo La Coruna and 1.2 for Osasuna.
How many goals in Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna?
Our model expects about 3.5 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 46% and under 2.5 at 54%; the best over 2.5 price is 2.28. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna kick off?
Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Monday 2 November 2026, in La Liga.
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