Getafe vs Sevilla prediction
Getafe
SevillaNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 65%; the best price of 1.52 implies 66%
- Expected goals 1.4–1.1 (most likely score 1-1)
- Last five: Getafe DLWLD, Sevilla LDLWW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Expected goals 1.4–1.1, 2.5 in total.
One side is expected to struggle: 1.1 xG.
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Getafe vs Sevilla preview
Getafe host Sevilla in La Liga on Sunday 1 November. In the standings, Sevilla are 6th on 14 points from 9 games and Getafe 16th on 9 points from 9 games. That puts Sevilla ten places higher. Recent results matter here: Getafe have picked up one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five (DLWLD) and Sevilla have picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (LDLWW). In front of goal, Getafe score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game on average; Sevilla score 1.6 and concede 1.8. Our model expects around 1.4 goals for Getafe and 1.1 for Sevilla, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 36% and both teams to score at 44%. We make Getafe 34% to win, the draw 31% and Sevilla 35%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 33%, 32% and 36%. Our verdict is Getafe or draw: we rate it at 65%, against 66% implied by the best price of 1.52. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe win | 34% | 3.02 | 33% | +2% |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 | 32% | -2% |
| Sevilla win | 35% | 2.76 | 36% | -4% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.82 | 35% | +2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.50 | 67% | -4% |
| Both teams to score | 44% | 2.20 | 45% | -2% |
| Not both to score | 56% | 1.67 | 60% | -7% |
| Getafe or draw | 65% | 1.52 | 66% | -1% |
| Sevilla or draw | 66% | 1.44 | 69% | -4% |
| Either team to win | 69% | 1.42 | 70% | -3% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Getafe | 1.4 |
| Sevilla | 1.1 |
| Total | 2.5 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Getafe 1–1 Sevilla | 14% |
| Getafe 1–0 Sevilla | 10% |
| Getafe 0–0 Sevilla | 10% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Getafe | |
| Sevilla |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 16th | 9 | 9 |
| Sevilla | 6th | 14 | 9 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Sevilla | 1.6 | 1.8 |
Corners and cards lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Corners 9.5 | 2.45 (41%) | 1.52 (66%) |
Best available prices, with the implied chance in brackets.
Getafe vs Sevilla: FAQ
Who will win Getafe vs Sevilla?
We make Getafe 34% to win, the draw 31% and Sevilla 35%, so Sevilla are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. The bookmakers agree, with Sevilla the shorter price. Our verdict is Getafe or draw at 65%.
Will both teams score in Getafe vs Sevilla?
We give both teams to score a 44% chance, against 45% implied by the best price of 2.20. Our expected goals are 1.4 for Getafe and 1.1 for Sevilla.
How many goals in Getafe vs Sevilla?
Our model expects about 2.5 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 36% and under 2.5 at 64%; the best over 2.5 price is 2.82. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Getafe vs Sevilla kick off?
Getafe vs Sevilla kicks off at 13:00 UTC on Sunday 1 November 2026, in La Liga.
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