Racing Santander vs Real Madrid prediction
Racing Santander
Real MadridNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 64%; the best price of 1.50 implies 67%
- Expected goals 1.9–1.6, so 76% for over 2.5 and 64% for both to score
- Last five: Racing Santander WLDLL, Real Madrid WWLWW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Expected goals 1.9–1.6, 3.4 in total.
Our model gives Real Madrid the win 70%.
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Racing Santander vs Real Madrid preview
La Liga action on Sunday 1 November sees Real Madrid travel to face Racing Santander. In the standings, Real Madrid are 3rd on 21 points from 9 games and Racing Santander 12th on 11 points from 10 games. That puts Real Madrid nine places higher. Real Madrid come into it having won four of their last five (WWLWW); Racing Santander have lost three of their last five (WLDLL). Racing Santander average 1.5 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game, compared with 2.6 and 1.0 for Real Madrid. Our model expects around 1.9 goals for Racing Santander and 1.6 for Real Madrid, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams to score at 64%. We make Racing Santander 14% to win, the draw 15% and Real Madrid 70%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 10%, 14% and 77%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 64%, against 67% implied by the best price of 1.50. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander win | 14% | 9.90 | 10% | +41% |
| Draw | 15% | 6.97 | 14% | +8% |
| Real Madrid win | 70% | 1.30 | 77% | -9% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 76% | 1.24 | 81% | -5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 24% | 4.33 | 23% | +3% |
| Both teams to score | 64% | 1.50 | 67% | -4% |
| Not both to score | 36% | 2.62 | 38% | -6% |
| Racing Santander or draw | 30% | 3.94 | 25% | +17% |
| Real Madrid or draw | 86% | 1.10 | 91% | -6% |
| Either team to win | 85% | 1.13 | 88% | -4% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 1.9 |
| Real Madrid | 1.6 |
| Total | 3.4 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Racing Santander 1–1 Real Madrid | 11% |
| Racing Santander 2–1 Real Madrid | 9% |
| Racing Santander 1–2 Real Madrid | 7% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Racing Santander | |
| Real Madrid |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 12th | 11 | 10 |
| Real Madrid | 3rd | 21 | 9 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Santander | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| Real Madrid | 2.6 | 1.0 |
Corners and cards lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Corners 9.5 | 1.53 (65%) | 2.42 (41%) |
Best available prices, with the implied chance in brackets.
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: FAQ
Who will win Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
We make Racing Santander 14% to win, the draw 15% and Real Madrid 70%, so Real Madrid are the more likely winners on our numbers. The bookmakers agree, with Real Madrid the shorter price. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 64%.
Will both teams score in Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
We give both teams to score a 64% chance, against 67% implied by the best price of 1.50. Our expected goals are 1.9 for Racing Santander and 1.6 for Real Madrid.
How many goals in Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?
Our model expects about 3.4 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 76% and under 2.5 at 24%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.24. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Racing Santander vs Real Madrid kick off?
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid kicks off at 15:15 UTC on Sunday 1 November 2026, in La Liga.
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