Estac Troyes vs Le Mans prediction
Estac Troyes
Le MansNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 59%; the best price of 1.70 implies 59%
- Expected goals 1.4–2.0, so 54% for over 2.5 and 59% for both to score
- Last five: Estac Troyes LLLLL, Le Mans LLWDD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
No side is clear, so we cover two results: 68% combined.
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Estac Troyes vs Le Mans preview
Estac Troyes welcome Le Mans on Saturday 31 October in Ligue 1. In the standings, Le Mans are 16th on 6 points from 7 games and Estac Troyes 17th on 4 points from 7 games. On form, Estac Troyes have lost each of their last five (LLLLL), while Le Mans have picked up one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five (LLWDD). Estac Troyes average 0.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game, compared with 1.4 and 2.1 for Le Mans. On expected goals we have Estac Troyes at 1.4 and Le Mans at 2.0, with 1–1 the most likely score (11%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 59%. We make Estac Troyes 42% to win, the draw 27% and Le Mans 32%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 45%, 27% and 29%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 59%, against 59% implied by the best price of 1.70. The edge is slim at around 1%, so a small drop in the price would remove it. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes win | 42% | 2.22 | 45% | -7% |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 | 27% | -3% |
| Le Mans win | 32% | 3.44 | 29% | +9% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.88 | 53% | +2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.07 | 48% | -6% |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 1.70 | 59% | +0% |
| Not both to score | 41% | 2.20 | 45% | -10% |
| Estac Troyes or draw | 68% | 1.37 | 73% | -6% |
| Le Mans or draw | 58% | 1.74 | 57% | +1% |
| Either team to win | 73% | 1.33 | 75% | -2% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 1.4 |
| Le Mans | 2.0 |
| Total | 3.4 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Estac Troyes 1–1 Le Mans | 11% |
| Estac Troyes 1–2 Le Mans | 9% |
| Estac Troyes 2–1 Le Mans | 7% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | |
| Le Mans |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 17th | 4 | 7 |
| Le Mans | 16th | 6 | 7 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 0.7 | 2.3 |
| Le Mans | 1.4 | 2.1 |
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: FAQ
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
We make Estac Troyes 42% to win, the draw 27% and Le Mans 32%, so Estac Troyes are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. The bookmakers agree, with Estac Troyes the shorter price. Our verdict is Both teams to score at 59%.
Will both teams score in Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
We give both teams to score a 59% chance, against 59% implied by the best price of 1.70. Our expected goals are 1.4 for Estac Troyes and 2.0 for Le Mans.
How many goals in Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
Our model expects about 3.4 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 54% and under 2.5 at 46%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.88. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Estac Troyes vs Le Mans kick off?
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Saturday 31 October 2026, in Ligue 1.
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