Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain prediction

Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain preview

Le Havre host Paris Saint Germain in Ligue 1 on Friday 30 October. Le Havre sit 18th in the table on 2 points from 7 games, while Paris Saint Germain are 2nd with 14 points. That puts Paris Saint Germain 16 places higher. On form, Le Havre have not won any of their last five (one draw, four defeats) (LLLDL), while Paris Saint Germain have won four of their last five (WWWWL). In front of goal, Le Havre score 0.7 and concede 1.6 a game on average; Paris Saint Germain score 2.0 and concede 1.3. On expected goals we have Le Havre at 1.0 and Paris Saint Germain at 1.8, with 1–1 the most likely score (13%).

We put over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams to score at 55%. We make Le Havre 11% to win, the draw 16% and Paris Saint Germain 74%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 9%, 14% and 79%. Our verdict is Both teams to score: we rate it at 55%, against 59% implied by the best price of 1.70. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.