Nice vs Rennes prediction
Nice
RennesNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 63%; the best price of 1.62 implies 62%
- Expected goals 1.9–1.2 (most likely score 1-1)
- Last five: Nice WLWWL, Rennes WLWLW
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
Our 2nd and 3rd picks
Both sides expected to score: 1.9 and 1.2 xG.
Expected goals 1.9–1.2, 3.1 in total.
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Nice vs Rennes preview
Ligue 1 action on Friday 30 October sees Rennes travel to face Nice. Nice sit 10th in the table on 11 points from 8 games, while Rennes are 2nd with 16 points. That puts Rennes eight places higher. Both sides have won three of their last five: Nice WLWWL and Rennes WLWLW. In front of goal, Nice score 1.0 and concede 1.3 a game on average; Rennes score 2.3 and concede 1.8. On expected goals we have Nice at 1.9 and Rennes at 1.2, with 1–1 the most likely score (11%).
We put over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 64%. We make Nice 37% to win, the draw 25% and Rennes 37%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 36%, 26% and 40%. Our verdict is Nice or draw: we rate it at 63%, against 62% implied by the best price of 1.62. The edge is slim at around 1%, so a small drop in the price would remove it. Odds can move before kick-off and no prediction is certain.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice win | 37% | 2.78 | 36% | +4% |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 | 26% | -1% |
| Rennes win | 37% | 2.53 | 40% | -5% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 | 61% | +0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.55 | 39% | +0% |
| Both teams to score | 64% | 1.48 | 68% | -5% |
| Not both to score | 36% | 2.70 | 37% | -3% |
| Nice or draw | 63% | 1.62 | 62% | +1% |
| Rennes or draw | 63% | 1.50 | 67% | -6% |
| Either team to win | 75% | 1.31 | 76% | -2% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Nice | 1.9 |
| Rennes | 1.2 |
| Total | 3.1 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Nice 1–1 Rennes | 11% |
| Nice 2–1 Rennes | 10% |
| Nice 2–0 Rennes | 8% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Nice | |
| Rennes |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 10th | 11 | 8 |
| Rennes | 2nd | 16 | 8 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Nice | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Rennes | 2.3 | 1.8 |
Corners and cards lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Corners 9.5 | 1.68 (60%) | 2.35 (43%) |
Best available prices, with the implied chance in brackets.
Nice vs Rennes: FAQ
Who will win Nice vs Rennes?
We make Nice 37% to win, the draw 25% and Rennes 37%, so Rennes are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. The bookmakers agree, with Rennes the shorter price. Our verdict is Nice or draw at 63%.
Will both teams score in Nice vs Rennes?
We give both teams to score a 64% chance, against 68% implied by the best price of 1.48. Our expected goals are 1.9 for Nice and 1.2 for Rennes.
How many goals in Nice vs Rennes?
Our model expects about 3.1 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 61% and under 2.5 at 39%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.65. The single most likely score is 1–1.
What time does Nice vs Rennes kick off?
Nice vs Rennes kicks off at 18:00 UTC on Friday 30 October 2026, in Ligue 1.
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