Premier League

Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction

Premier League · Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:30 UTC

Chelsea

0–2

Full time

Tottenham

Result: Chelsea 0–2 Tottenham

Pick	Outcome
Chelsea to win	Lost
Both teams to score	Lost
Over 2.5 goals	Lost

Settled on our public track record.

Our verdict · Match result

Chelsea to win Lost

Our chance54%

Best price1.97

Fair odds1.84

Value · +7% edgeConfidence: Low

Why

We make it 65%
Expected goals 2.2–1.1, so 65% for over 2.5 and 61% for both to score
Last five: Chelsea WWLDL, Tottenham WDLDD
No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip

Our 2nd and 3rd picks

Both teams to score

63%

@ 1.50

Lost

Goals

Over 2.5 goals

62%

@ 1.61

Lost

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Chelsea vs Tottenham preview

Chelsea hosted Tottenham in the Premier League on Saturday 24 October. Here is how it shaped up before kick-off. Chelsea sit 4th in the table on 13 points from 7 games, while Tottenham are 17th with 6 points. That puts Chelsea 13 places higher. Tottenham come into it having picked up one win, three draws and one defeat in their last five (WDLDD); Chelsea have picked up two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five (WWLDL). In front of goal, Chelsea score 2.4 and concede 1.9 a game on average; Tottenham score 0.9 and concede 1.4.

On expected goals we have Chelsea at 2.2 and Tottenham at 1.1, with 1–1 the most likely score (10%). We put over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 63%. We make Chelsea 54% to win, the draw 24% and Tottenham 22%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 51%, 24% and 23%. Our verdict is Chelsea to win: we rate it at 54%, against 51% implied by the best price of 1.97. That gap is where the value lies: an edge of about 7% at the current price, which can disappear if the odds shorten.

Match result: our chances against the odds

Outcome	Our chance	Best price	Implied	Edge
Chelsea win	54%	1.97	51%	+7%
Draw	24%	4.20	24%	0%
Tottenham win	22%	4.40	23%	-4%

Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.

Goals, both teams to score and double chance

Outcome	Our chance	Best price	Implied	Edge
Over 2.5 goals	62%	1.61	62%	-1%
Under 2.5 goals	38%	2.47	40%	-5%
Both teams to score	63%	1.50	67%	-6%
Not both to score	37%	2.60	38%	-3%
Chelsea or draw	78%	1.30	77%	+2%
Tottenham or draw	46%	1.93	52%	-12%
Either team to win	76%	1.29	78%	-2%

Expected goals and likely scores

Expected goals	xG
Chelsea	2.2
Tottenham	1.1
Total	3.4

Most likely scores	Chance
Chelsea 1–1 Tottenham	10%
Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham	10%
Chelsea 2–0 Tottenham	9%

Form, table and goals

Form (last 5)	Results
Chelsea
Tottenham

League position	Pos	Pts	Played
Chelsea	4th	13	7
Tottenham	17th	6	7

Goals per game	Scored	Conceded
Chelsea	2.4	1.9
Tottenham	0.9	1.4

Corners and cards lines

Line	Over	Under
Corners 9.5	1.55 (65%)	2.42 (41%)
Cards 3.5	1.20 (83%)	4.30 (23%)

Best available prices, with the implied chance in brackets.

Chelsea vs Tottenham: FAQ

Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?

The match finished Chelsea 0–2 Tottenham. Before kick-off we made Chelsea 54% to win, the draw 24% and Tottenham 22%, so Chelsea were the more likely winners on our numbers. The bookmakers agree, with Chelsea the shorter price. Our verdict was Chelsea to win at 54%.

Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Tottenham?

We gave both teams to score a 63% chance, against 67% implied by the best price of 1.50. Our expected goals are 2.2 for Chelsea and 1.1 for Tottenham. In the end, both teams did not score.

How many goals in Chelsea vs Tottenham?

Our model expects about 3.4 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 62% and under 2.5 at 38%; the best over 2.5 price is 1.61. The single most likely score is 1–1. The final score was 0–2, 2 goals in all.

What time does Chelsea vs Tottenham kick off?

Chelsea vs Tottenham kicked off at 16:30 UTC on Saturday 24 October 2026, in the Premier League.