Coventry vs Fulham prediction
Coventry
FulhamResult: Coventry 0–1 Fulham
| Pick | Outcome |
|---|---|
| Coventry or draw | Lost |
| Both teams to score | Lost |
Settled on our public track record.
No value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 63%
- Expected goals 1.0–1.2, so 37% for over 2.5 and 45% for both to score
- Last five: Coventry LLWWL, Fulham WWLDD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
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Coventry vs Fulham preview
Fulham were the visitors at Coventry in the Premier League on Saturday 24 October. Here is how it shaped up before kick-off. Coventry sit 19th in the table on 6 points from 8 games, while Fulham are 13th with 8 points. That puts Fulham six places higher. Recent results matter here: Coventry have lost three of their last five (LLWWL) and Fulham have picked up two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five (WWLDD). In front of goal, Coventry score 0.8 and concede 1.9 a game on average; Fulham score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
Our model expects around 1.0 goals for Coventry and 1.2 for Fulham, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 15%. We put over 2.5 goals at 37% and both teams to score at 45%. We make Coventry 30% to win, the draw 32% and Fulham 38%. Our verdict is Coventry or draw: we rate it at 60%, against 59% implied by the best price of 1.69. The edge is slim at around 1%, so a small drop in the price would remove it.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 30% | – | – | – |
| Draw | 32% | – | – | – |
| Fulham win | 38% | – | – | – |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | – | – | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63% | – | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 45% | – | – | – |
| Not both to score | 55% | – | – | – |
| Coventry or draw | 62% | – | – | – |
| Fulham or draw | 70% | – | – | – |
| Either team to win | 68% | – | – | – |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Coventry | 1.0 |
| Fulham | 1.2 |
| Total | 2.2 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Coventry 1–1 Fulham | 15% |
| Coventry 0–0 Fulham | 13% |
| Coventry 0–1 Fulham | 12% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Coventry | |
| Fulham |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry | 19th | 6 | 8 |
| Fulham | 13th | 8 | 8 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| Fulham | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Coventry vs Fulham: FAQ
Who will win Coventry vs Fulham?
The match finished Coventry 0–1 Fulham. Before kick-off we made Coventry 30% to win, the draw 32% and Fulham 38%, so Fulham were the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. Our verdict was Coventry or draw at 60%.
Will both teams score in Coventry vs Fulham?
We gave both teams to score a 45% chance. Our expected goals are 1.0 for Coventry and 1.2 for Fulham. In the end, both teams did not score.
How many goals in Coventry vs Fulham?
Our model expects about 2.2 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 37% and under 2.5 at 63%. The single most likely score is 1–1. The final score was 0–1, 1 goal in all.
What time does Coventry vs Fulham kick off?
Coventry vs Fulham kicked off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday 24 October 2026, in the Premier League.
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