La Liga

Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction

La Liga · Saturday 7 November 2026, 15:15 UTC

Espanyol

15:15

Kick-off (UTC)

Deportivo La Coruna

Our verdict · Double chance

Deportivo La Coruna or draw

Our chance58%

Best price1.69

Fair odds1.73

No value edgeConfidence: Low

Why

We make it 58%; the best price of 1.69 implies 59%
Expected goals 1.4–1.4 (most likely score 1-1)
Last five: Espanyol WLLDL, Deportivo La Coruna LDLDL
No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip

Our 2nd and 3rd picks

Both teams to score

Both sides expected to score: 1.4 and 1.4 xG.

53%

@ 1.78

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Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna preview

Espanyol welcome Deportivo La Coruna on Saturday 7 November in La Liga. Espanyol sit 12th in the table on 11 points from 11 games, while Deportivo La Coruna are 11th with 11 points. The two sides are level on points. Recent results matter here: Espanyol have lost three of their last five (WLLDL) and Deportivo La Coruna have not won any of their last five (two draws, three defeats) (LDLDL). Espanyol average 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, compared with 1.3 and 1.3 for Deportivo La Coruna. Our model expects around 1.4 goals for Espanyol and 1.4 for Deportivo La Coruna, and 1–1 is the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

We put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. We make Espanyol 42% to win, the draw 28% and Deportivo La Coruna 30%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 43%, 28% and 30%. Our verdict is Deportivo La Coruna or draw: we rate it at 58%, against 59% implied by the best price of 1.69. There is no clear value at the current prices, as the bookmakers rate this at least as highly as we do, so treat it as our most likely sensible outcome rather than a value bet. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.

Match result: our chances against the odds

Outcome	Our chance	Best price	Implied	Edge
Espanyol win	42%	2.30	43%	-3%
Draw	28%	3.52	28%	-2%
Deportivo La Coruna win	30%	3.37	30%	+1%

Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.

Goals, both teams to score and double chance

Outcome	Our chance	Best price	Implied	Edge
Over 2.5 goals	48%	2.10	48%	0%
Under 2.5 goals	52%	1.86	54%	-3%
Both teams to score	53%	1.78	56%	-5%
Not both to score	47%	2.00	50%	-7%
Espanyol or draw	70%	1.37	73%	-4%
Deportivo La Coruna or draw	58%	1.69	59%	-2%
Either team to win	72%	1.35	74%	-3%

Expected goals and likely scores

Expected goals	xG
Espanyol	1.4
Deportivo La Coruna	1.4
Total	2.8

Most likely scores	Chance
Espanyol 1–1 Deportivo La Coruna	13%
Espanyol 2–1 Deportivo La Coruna	8%
Espanyol 1–2 Deportivo La Coruna	8%

Form, table and goals

Form (last 5)	Results
Espanyol
Deportivo La Coruna

League position	Pos	Pts	Played
Espanyol	12th	11	11
Deportivo La Coruna	11th	11	10

Goals per game	Scored	Conceded
Espanyol	1.2	1.3
Deportivo La Coruna	1.3	1.3

Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna: FAQ

Who will win Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna?

We make Espanyol 42% to win, the draw 28% and Deportivo La Coruna 30%, so Espanyol are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. The bookmakers agree, with Espanyol the shorter price. Our verdict is Deportivo La Coruna or draw at 58%.

Will both teams score in Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna?

We give both teams to score a 53% chance, against 56% implied by the best price of 1.78. Our expected goals are 1.4 for Espanyol and 1.4 for Deportivo La Coruna.

How many goals in Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Our model expects about 2.8 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 48% and under 2.5 at 52%; the best over 2.5 price is 2.10. The single most likely score is 1–1.

What time does Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna kick off?

Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna kicks off at 15:15 UTC on Saturday 7 November 2026, in La Liga.