Osasuna vs Athletic Club prediction
Osasuna
Athletic ClubNo value edgeConfidence: Low
Why
- We make it 58%; the best price of 1.73 implies 58%
- Expected goals 1.1–0.8 (most likely score 0-0)
- Last five: Osasuna LWLDL, Athletic Club WLDDD
- No clear value at current prices, so this is our most likely sensible tip
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Osasuna vs Athletic Club preview
Osasuna host Athletic Club in La Liga on Saturday 7 November. Osasuna sit 13th in the table on 11 points from 10 games, while Athletic Club are 8th with 12 points. Athletic Club come into it having picked up one win, three draws and one defeat in their last five (WLDDD); Osasuna have lost three of their last five (LWLDL). In front of goal, Osasuna score 1.0 and concede 2.0 a game on average; Athletic Club score 1.3 and concede 1.0. Our model expects around 1.1 goals for Osasuna and 0.8 for Athletic Club, and 0–0 is the single most likely scoreline at 17%.
We put over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 51%. We make Osasuna 29% to win, the draw 29% and Athletic Club 42%, while the best bookmaker prices imply 28%, 28% and 45%. Our verdict is Osasuna or draw: we rate it at 58%, against 58% implied by the best price of 1.73. The edge is slim at around 1%, so a small drop in the price would remove it. Prices change, and nothing in football is guaranteed.
Match result: our chances against the odds
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna win | 29% | 3.52 | 28% | +3% |
| Draw | 29% | 3.52 | 28% | +1% |
| Athletic Club win | 42% | 2.23 | 45% | -6% |
Implied chance is 1 ÷ the best price, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. Edge is our chance × price − 1.
Goals, both teams to score and double chance
| Outcome | Our chance | Best price | Implied | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.11 | 47% | -4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.88 | 53% | +3% |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 1.80 | 56% | -8% |
| Not both to score | 49% | 2.00 | 50% | -2% |
| Osasuna or draw | 58% | 1.73 | 58% | +0% |
| Athletic Club or draw | 71% | 1.35 | 74% | -5% |
| Either team to win | 71% | 1.35 | 74% | -4% |
Expected goals and likely scores
| Expected goals | xG |
|---|---|
| Osasuna | 1.1 |
| Athletic Club | 0.8 |
| Total | 1.9 |
| Most likely scores | Chance |
|---|---|
| Osasuna 0–0 Athletic Club | 17% |
| Osasuna 1–0 Athletic Club | 15% |
| Osasuna 1–1 Athletic Club | 15% |
Form, table and goals
| Form (last 5) | Results |
|---|---|
| Osasuna | |
| Athletic Club |
| League position | Pos | Pts | Played |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 13th | 11 | 10 |
| Athletic Club | 8th | 12 | 9 |
| Goals per game | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Athletic Club | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Osasuna vs Athletic Club: FAQ
Who will win Osasuna vs Athletic Club?
We make Osasuna 29% to win, the draw 29% and Athletic Club 42%, so Athletic Club are the more likely winners on our numbers, though it is close. The bookmakers agree, with Athletic Club the shorter price. Our verdict is Osasuna or draw at 58%.
Will both teams score in Osasuna vs Athletic Club?
We give both teams to score a 51% chance, against 56% implied by the best price of 1.80. Our expected goals are 1.1 for Osasuna and 0.8 for Athletic Club.
How many goals in Osasuna vs Athletic Club?
Our model expects about 1.9 goals in total. We put over 2.5 goals at 45% and under 2.5 at 55%; the best over 2.5 price is 2.11. The single most likely score is 0–0.
What time does Osasuna vs Athletic Club kick off?
Osasuna vs Athletic Club kicks off at 17:30 UTC on Saturday 7 November 2026, in La Liga.
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